Reasonable-Alpenhorn
0xb08204b4dca63b55acb8006af35a9e561d5c4e19
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$111.37
Total PnL
$-3.83
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 13?
16 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$16.03
$0.03
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on April 13?
15 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$15.04
$0.04
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 15?
13 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$13.32
$0.07
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 15?
13 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$13.01
$0.01
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on April 13?
11 shares @ 91.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$10.88
$0.92
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on April 13?
10 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$10.03
$0.04
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on April 13?
6 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$6.01
$0.01
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on April 14?
6 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$6.01
$0.01
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on April 13?
6 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$6.01
$0.01
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C or higher on April 13?
5 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$5.01
$0.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 15?$13.26Apr 13, 08:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 15?$13.00Apr 13, 08:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on April 14?$6.00Apr 13, 08:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 13?$16.00Apr 13, 08:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on April 13?$5.00Apr 13, 08:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on April 13?$5.00Apr 13, 08:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on April 13?$10.00Apr 13, 08:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on April 13?$15.00Apr 13, 08:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on April 13?$6.00Apr 13, 08:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C or higher on April 13?$5.00Apr 13, 08:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 10°C on April 13?$6.00Apr 13, 08:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on April 13?$5.00Apr 13, 08:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on April 13?$5.00Apr 13, 08:32 UTC
- REDEEMEdgeX FDV above $10B one day after launch?$9.12Apr 13, 08:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $95,000 in March?$10.02Apr 13, 08:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?$11.51Apr 13, 08:24 UTC
- REDEEMEdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch?$12.20Apr 13, 08:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?$13.35Apr 13, 08:24 UTC
- REDEEMEdgeX FDV above $5B one day after launch?$15.03Apr 13, 08:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 in March?$18.02Apr 13, 08:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $120.06
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 26, 03:42 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 13, 08:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".