Light-Hardening
0xb08ab54a961188ff08eb3b12d196d88c61529e2e
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$22.78
Total PnL
$1.28
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?
7 shares @ 96.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$7.04
$0.24
- NO
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
6 shares @ 91.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$6.26
$0.56
- NO
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after July 2025 meeting?
5 shares @ 98.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2025$5.08
$0.08
- NO
Will Sylvi Listhaug become the next Prime Minister of Norway?
4 shares @ 91.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 8, 2025$4.40
$0.40
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Sylvi Listhaug become the next Prime Minister of Norway?$4.00Jul 25, 08:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill DeepSeek have the top AI model on June 30?$8.19Jul 25, 08:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after July 2025 meeting?$5.00May 25, 06:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek have the top AI model on June 30?$8.00May 25, 06:11 UTC
- REDEEMFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after May 2025 meeting?$8.03May 25, 06:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill DeepSeek have the top AI model on March 31?$8.09May 25, 06:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek have the top AI model on March 31?$8.00Mar 27, 04:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?$6.80Mar 27, 04:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?$5.70Mar 27, 04:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after May 2025 meeting?$8.00Mar 27, 04:42 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after January 2025 meeting?$6.01Mar 27, 04:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $200,000 by January 31, 2025?$6.04Mar 27, 04:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Washington Wizards win the Eastern Conference?$8.05Mar 27, 04:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Washington Wizards win the Eastern Conference?$8.00Jan 21, 15:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after January 2025 meeting?$6.00Jan 21, 15:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $200,000 by January 31, 2025?$6.00Jan 21, 15:45 UTC
- REDEEMGOP wins popular vote by less than 1.5%?$1.00Jan 21, 14:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $85,000 in December?$1.11Jan 21, 14:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill the 49ers win Super Bowl 2025?$9.52Jan 21, 14:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Juventus win the UEFA Champions League?$7.53Dec 24, 08:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $11.10
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 6, 08:56 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 25, 08:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.