Fixed-Keyboard
0xb0906e35d05f95480c871307d12503cc78eb28d1
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
56
Open notional
$439.88
Total PnL
$-3.7K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 56- YES
Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch?
241 shares @ 96.9¢·now 96.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$232.88
$-0.86
- NO
Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026
155 shares @ 78.4¢·now 83.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$129.02
$7.81
- NO
Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026?
50 shares @ 96.1¢·now 99.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$49.70
$1.65
- NO
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
20 shares @ 94.3¢·now 90.0¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$18.01
$-0.85
- YES
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?
53 shares @ 19.0¢·now 19.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2027$10.26
$0.26
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 23, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET
1000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$0.00
$-500.00
- CAVALIERS
Cavaliers vs. Magic
680 shares @ 60.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-414.12
- FRANCE
Spread: Spain (-1.5)
600 shares @ 88.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$0.00
$-529.50
- CELTICS
Timberwolves vs. Celtics
450 shares @ 79.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$0.00
$-355.50
- HORNETS
Hornets vs. Suns
400 shares @ 63.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026$0.00
$-252.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?$10.40Jul 21, 05:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Spain (-1.5)$532.61Jul 14, 10:43 UTC
- REDEEMFrance vs. Morocco: O/U 6.5 Total Corners$299.99Jul 9, 22:30 UTC
- REDEEMFrance vs. Morocco: O/U 7.5 Total Corners$20.00Jul 9, 22:30 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$10.00Jul 9, 21:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. Morocco: O/U 6.5 Total Corners$136.87Jul 8, 16:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. Morocco: O/U 6.5 Total Corners$114.98Jul 8, 14:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. Morocco: O/U 6.5 Total Corners$6.14Jul 8, 13:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. Morocco: O/U 7.5 Total Corners$15.31Jul 8, 12:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$45.05Jul 7, 17:56 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 6, 00:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$37.42Jul 6, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 5, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMColombia vs. Ghana: O/U 3.5$50.00Jul 4, 03:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYColombia vs. Ghana: O/U 3.5$37.29Jul 4, 02:00 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$7.88Jul 4, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 4, 00:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$36.84Jul 3, 05:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$333.75Jul 3, 05:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$340.06Jul 3, 05:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
38 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 70/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $141.21
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 2, 01:59 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 05:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.