First-Immortal
0xb09ea4c0c4ab80a6d05092cbc2dc180eec9aee4b
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-11.0K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
25749 shares @ 34.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-8.8K
- YES
Will JD Vance announce Presidential run in 2025?
8672 shares @ 8.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-710.09
- YES
2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, R Senate, R House
4780 shares @ 29.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-1.4K
- NO
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
260 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-98.80
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$0.00Dec 8, 17:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$450.16Dec 8, 17:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$400.00Oct 28, 17:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill JD Vance announce Presidential run in 2025?$500.00Sep 2, 03:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill JD Vance announce Presidential run in 2025?$210.10Sep 2, 03:23 UTC
- TRADESELLOpenAI browser in 2025?$108.10Sep 2, 03:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpenAI browser in 2025?$100.00Aug 13, 01:44 UTC
- TRADEBUY2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, R Senate, R House$20.30Nov 2, 19:55 UTC
- TRADEBUY2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, R Senate, R House$94.00Nov 2, 19:51 UTC
- TRADEBUY2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, R Senate, R House$30.00Nov 2, 19:50 UTC
- TRADESELLGPT-5 not announced in 2024?$144.30Nov 2, 19:49 UTC
- TRADEBUY2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, R Senate, R House$1.2KNov 2, 19:46 UTC
- TRADESELL2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, R Senate, D House$1.2KNov 2, 19:45 UTC
- TRADESELLGPT-5 not announced in 2024?$18.20Nov 2, 19:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$8.3KOct 28, 03:45 UTC
- TRADEBUY2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, R Senate, D House$1000.00Oct 28, 03:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tim Walz be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?$427.35Aug 6, 20:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mark Kelly be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?$9.91Aug 6, 02:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mark Kelly be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?$100.00Aug 5, 03:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tim Walz be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?$100.00Aug 5, 03:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $541.89
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 19, 14:35 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 8, 17:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".