Obvious-Archives
0xb0a00e877d7af8373b91c2adb6584a324463de51
Wallet digest
Activity score
33/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
114
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-812.61
Realised
$-48.52
Win rate
8%
113 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 114- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET
117 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-4.68
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET
86 shares @ 58.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET
52 shares @ 19.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET
46 shares @ 65.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET
35 shares @ 28.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET
33 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET
32 shares @ 31.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET
32 shares @ 45.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$0.00
$-14.30
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET
31 shares @ 32.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET$10.00Aug 4, 10:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET$4.97Aug 4, 10:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET$4.98Aug 4, 10:23 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET$5.12Aug 4, 10:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET$4.40Aug 4, 10:18 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET$6.62Aug 4, 10:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET$4.92Aug 4, 10:13 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET$6.00Aug 4, 10:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET$4.75Aug 4, 10:09 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET$20.03Aug 4, 09:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET$4.97Aug 4, 09:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET$4.95Aug 4, 09:53 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET$5.63Aug 4, 09:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET$4.89Aug 4, 09:34 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET$19.00Aug 4, 09:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET$4.87Aug 4, 09:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET$4.57Aug 4, 09:12 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET$11.16Aug 4, 09:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET$5.05Aug 4, 09:05 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET$0.62Jul 25, 03:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
64/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
8% win rate over 113 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
42 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 26/100.
113 closed markets, 8% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $4.36
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 24, 23:44 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 4, 10:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 113 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.