0xb0a0247173249fb2dd9a0a87e83f17866ba13bd3
0xb0a0247173249fb2dd9a0a87e83f17866ba13bd3
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
83
Open notional
$373.37
Total PnL
$-523.55
Realised
$-191.97
Win rate
14%
36 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 83- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
220 shares @ 70.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$220.00
$66.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 2?
37 shares @ 63.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$37.14
$13.50
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 29?
33 shares @ 28.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$33.41
$23.79
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on May 27?
29 shares @ 40.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$29.47
$17.67
- KNICKS
Spread: Spurs (-21.5)
10 shares @ 95.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$10.47
$0.47
- UNDER
Canada vs. Republic of Ireland: O/U 2.5
8 shares @ 63.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$7.75
$2.87
- SPURS
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)
6 shares @ 82.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$6.10
$1.10
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 31?
6 shares @ 34.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$5.63
$3.72
- KNICKS
Spread: Spurs (-19.5)
5 shares @ 97.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$5.13
$0.15
- UNDER
Washington Nationals vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 11.5
5 shares @ 70.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$5.00
$1.50
Recent activity
- TRADESELLKashima Antlers vs. Vissel Kōbe: O/U 1.5$2.61Jun 6, 04:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYKashima Antlers vs. Vissel Kōbe: O/U 1.5$2.92Jun 6, 04:15 UTC
- TRADESELLLos Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgers$4.33Jun 6, 04:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYDallas Wings vs. Los Angeles Sparks$2.94Jun 6, 03:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpurs vs. Knicks$4.93Jun 6, 03:28 UTC
- TRADESELLPhoenix Mercury vs. PortlandFire$6.53Jun 6, 03:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpurs vs. Knicks$4.93Jun 6, 03:19 UTC
- TRADESELLKansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 10.5$3.30Jun 6, 03:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYPhoenix Mercury vs. PortlandFire$5.08Jun 6, 02:51 UTC
- TRADESELLKnicks vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5$5.83Jun 6, 02:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYKnicks vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5$5.01Jun 6, 02:39 UTC
- TRADESELLSpread: Spurs (-5.5)$0.07Jun 6, 02:39 UTC
- TRADESELLSpread: Spurs (-6.5)$7.27Jun 6, 02:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Knicks (-15.5)$5.06Jun 6, 02:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Knicks (-15.5)$5.06Jun 6, 02:38 UTC
- TRADESELLSpread: Spurs (-5.5)$7.38Jun 6, 02:38 UTC
- TRADESELLKnicks vs. Spurs: O/U 208.5$0.09Jun 6, 02:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Spurs (-6.5)$4.87Jun 6, 01:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Spurs (-19.5)$4.98Jun 6, 01:59 UTC
- TRADESELLSpread: Knicks (-8.5)$5.45Jun 6, 01:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
57/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
14% win rate over 36 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 41/100.
36 closed markets, 14% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $4.95
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 6, 00:42 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 6, 04:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 36 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.