Surprised-Essay
0xb0a89c18f22305024d13f092eded801fca6871d7
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
112
Open notional
$90.46
Total PnL
$-392.47
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 112- YES
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $390 end of April?
50 shares @ 38.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$42.25
$23.25
- YES
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
96 shares @ 20.9¢·now 28.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$27.22
$7.22
- YES
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
49 shares @ 46.8¢·now 38.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$18.74
$-4.35
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
1 shares @ 95.0¢·now 99.3¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$1.04
$0.04
- YES
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
18 shares @ 50.0¢·now 4.8¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.85
$-8.14
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
63 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.4¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.22
$-9.78
- YES
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
8 shares @ 12.8¢·now 1.7¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$0.13
$-0.87
- UNDER
Games Total: O/U 3.5
589 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
488 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will Sentimental Value win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
143 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$11.118d ago
- TRADESELLWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$15.118d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft (MSFT) close above $390 end of April?$19.0016d ago
- TRADEBUYMicrosoft (MSFT) Up or Down on April 9?$1.1616d ago
- TRADESELLCerebras IPO before 2027?$18.4024d ago
- TRADESELLCerebras IPO before 2027?$1.9224d ago
- TRADESELLCerebras IPO before 2027?$0.9624d ago
- TRADEBUYCerebras IPO before 2027?$18.2525d ago
- TRADESELLSpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?$16.8825d ago
- REDEEMAlabama Crimson Tide vs. Michigan Wolverines$0.0028d ago
- REDEEMAlabama Crimson Tide vs. Michigan Wolverines$0.9228d ago
- TRADEBUYSpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?$3.5029d ago
- TRADEBUYWill 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?$10.0029d ago
- TRADESELLDiscord IPO before 2027?$5.7429d ago
- TRADEBUYSpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?$10.0031d ago
- TRADESELLCerebras IPO before 2027?$5.9931d ago
- TRADEBUYCerebras IPO before 2027?$5.0032d ago
- TRADESELLSpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?$11.7732d ago
- TRADESELLTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?$5.4533d ago
- SPLITAlabama Crimson Tide vs. Michigan Wolverines$0.9233d ago
Score breakdown
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $7.41
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 41d ago
- Last active
- 8d ago
Score is a 0–100 composite of open position size, breadth (number of trades), realised + unrealised ROI, win rate on closed markets, and category specialisation.