Surprised-Essay
0xb0a89c18f22305024d13f092eded801fca6871d7
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
127
Open notional
$142.80
Total PnL
$-641.28
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 127- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1754 shares @ 5.7¢·now 5.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$90.35
$-9.65
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
171 shares @ 8.8¢·now 7.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$13.45
$-1.55
- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
168 shares @ 8.9¢·now 7.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$12.51
$-2.48
- YES
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
714 shares @ 0.7¢·now 1.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$10.36
$5.36
- YES
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $480 in June?
225 shares @ 18.7¢·now 3.7¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$8.32
$-33.67
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?
48 shares @ 31.0¢·now 9.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.35
$-10.65
- YES
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
10 shares @ 37.0¢·now 26.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.65
$-1.05
- YES
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 29, 2026?
264 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.79
$-0.21
- UNDER
Games Total: O/U 3.5
589 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
488 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jun 14, 00:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$8.09Jun 13, 07:01 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 13, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 12, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill South Africa win on 2026-06-11?$1.03Jun 11, 19:03 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 11, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 10, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 9, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 29, 2026?$1.04Jun 8, 10:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 8, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?$15.41Jun 7, 17:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?$10.23Jun 7, 17:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by June 30?$8.01Jun 7, 17:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by June 30?$10.39Jun 7, 17:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$102.83Jun 7, 17:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $405 in June?$10.30Jun 7, 16:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$16.77Jun 7, 16:56 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 7, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 6, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $480 in June?$17.00Jun 5, 14:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $15.16
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 26, 10:38 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.