Robust-Panda
0xb0b2bd9a1fc302be9e5f9fcd802c30965124bfd5
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$1.29
Total PnL
$-911.04
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will Anthropic have the #3 AI model at the end of July 2026?
1 shares @ 98.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.29
$-0.05
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - January 5, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET
200 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$0.00
$-80.00
- UP
Solana Up or Down - January 6, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET
200 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$0.00
$-80.00
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - January 5, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET
200 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$0.00
$-80.00
- UP
Solana Up or Down - January 6, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET
200 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$0.00
$-80.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET
200 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$0.00
$-86.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET
200 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$0.00
$-86.00
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - January 6, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET
200 shares @ 60.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$0.00
$-120.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET
200 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$0.00
$-90.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET
200 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$0.00
$-86.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the #3 AI model at the end of July 2026?$1.34Jul 20, 00:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Uzbekistan win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.15Jul 20, 00:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?$1.26Jul 20, 00:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.15Jul 20, 00:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?$1.26Jun 10, 00:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Uzbekistan win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.12Jun 10, 00:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.10Jun 10, 00:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Worst Ex Ever: Season 2" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?$1.15Jun 10, 00:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Bank of Korea make no change to the base rate after the May Meeting?$2.24Jun 10, 00:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$4.49Jun 10, 00:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Worst Ex Ever: Season 2" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?$1.07May 19, 04:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Korea make no change to the base rate after the May Meeting?$2.21May 19, 04:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$4.23May 19, 04:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be 73°F or below on April 12?$1.23May 19, 04:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?$2.41May 19, 04:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$4.57May 19, 04:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be 73°F or below on April 12?$1.23Apr 11, 12:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?$2.40Apr 11, 12:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$4.50Apr 11, 12:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Balendra “Balen” Shah be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?$1.21Apr 11, 12:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $47.97
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 6, 11:49 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 20, 00:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.