Experienced-Incandescence
0xb0b4a1d9a23829f2e02bbdcc5b10f4aa7f37fa63
Activity score
64/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
25
Open notional
$121.16
Total PnL
$-31.56
Realised
$-8.11
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 25- ALEX BOLT
Wuxi: Alex Bolt vs Fajing Sun
35 shares @ 56.7¢·now 54.5¢·exp May 11, 2026$19.23
$-0.77
- YES
English Premier League: Bruno Fernandes breaks assists record?
29 shares @ 66.7¢·now 64.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$18.53
$-0.77
- YES
Will TheUnitedStrand get a haircut by 2025-26 season end?
51 shares @ 15.4¢·now 32.5¢·exp May 25, 2026$16.63
$8.73
- YES
Will Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United?
19 shares @ 76.4¢·now 80.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$15.16
$0.68
- ALEXIS GALARNEAU
Wuxi: Jie Cui vs Alexis Galarneau
16 shares @ 70.0¢·now 71.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$11.16
$0.16
- YES
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?
27 shares @ 33.1¢·now 31.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$8.55
$-0.45
- YES
Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year?
10 shares @ 67.1¢·now 61.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$6.36
$-0.64
- YES
Will Southampton achieve promotion from the EFL Championship to the English Premier League for the 2026-27 season?
17 shares @ 32.0¢·now 31.5¢·exp May 25, 2026$5.25
$-0.08
- YES
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?
57 shares @ 8.7¢·now 8.6¢·exp May 31, 2026$4.91
$-0.09
- NO
Pep Guardiola out as Manchester City manager by the end of 2026?
10 shares @ 49.0¢·now 46.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$4.74
$-0.26
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET$2.102h ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET$1.072h ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET$1.062h ago
- TRADEBUYWuxi: Yasutaka Uchiyama vs Alastair Gray$2.022h ago
- TRADEBUYWuxi: Jie Cui vs Alexis Galarneau$11.102h ago
- TRADEBUYWuxi: Alex Bolt vs Fajing Sun$3.042h ago
- REDEEMWill Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-05-03?$8.472h ago
- TRADEBUYRCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5$2.0312h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump praise Allah again by May 31?$1.1012h ago
- TRADESELLWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-03?$16.7512h ago
- TRADESELLWill FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-05-03?$4.3712h ago
- TRADESELLWill FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-05-03?$1.0012h ago
- TRADESELLWill FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-05-03?$3.0012h ago
- TRADESELLWill FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-05-03?$4.9512h ago
- TRADESELLBaltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees$9.4812h ago
- TRADESELLWill Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-05-03?$0.0112h ago
- TRADEBUYSharjah ruler Sultan bin Muhammad Al-Qasimi arrested by May 31?$1.0013h ago
- TRADESELLWill Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-03?$16.7513h ago
- TRADESELLWill Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-03?$5.0013h ago
- TRADESELLWill Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-03?$1.0013h ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $7.51
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 17h ago
- Last active
- 2h ago
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".