Ill-Fated-Orchestra
0xb0c401156694961d1979ce358dbb1b8885764872
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$29.41
Total PnL
$-91.38
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Trump x Putin Meeting in Hungary by Dec 31?
29 shares @ 17.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$29.41
$24.41
- YES
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?
113 shares @ 41.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-47.00
- YES
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell in 2025?
53 shares @ 9.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Maduro out in 2025?
49 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.78
- YES
Will Trump pardon Diddy in 2025?
40 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.60
- YES
Will Barcelona win on 2025-10-26?
30 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$0.00
$-9.30
- PARIS SAINT-GERMAIN FC
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)
21 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-11.55
- YES
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?
21 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-7.77
- YES
Trump invokes the Insurrection Act by December 31?
16 shares @ 30.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-11-05?
14 shares @ 68.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2025$0.00
$-9.76
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?$47.00Dec 1, 09:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?$47.89Dec 1, 09:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?$17.24Nov 5, 23:08 UTC
- REDEEMCurrent shutdown longest in U.S. history?$17.24Nov 5, 23:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Barcelona win on 2025-11-05?$9.76Nov 3, 22:42 UTC
- TRADESELLU.S. anti-cartel operation on foreign soil by November 30?$9.28Nov 3, 20:21 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by October 31?$0.00Nov 1, 12:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)$11.55Oct 29, 17:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture Kupiansk by October 31?$12.00Oct 29, 17:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kupiansk by October 31?$4.44Oct 26, 22:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. anti-cartel operation on foreign soil by November 30?$10.00Oct 25, 09:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture Pokrovsk train station by October 31?$14.29Oct 25, 09:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYMaduro out in 2025?$10.78Oct 24, 07:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Barcelona win on 2025-10-26?$9.30Oct 24, 07:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bologna FC 1909 win on 2025-10-23?$20.00Oct 24, 07:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?$7.77Oct 23, 14:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bologna FC 1909 win on 2025-10-23?$12.00Oct 23, 11:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Real Madrid CF win on 2025-10-22?$20.00Oct 23, 11:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-10-22?$4.03Oct 22, 13:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid CF win on 2025-10-22?$13.40Oct 22, 13:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $10.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 19, 17:46 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 1, 09:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.