Hospitable-Subconscious
0xb0c6619eef8dddd9ff3b52037ef424afe9459520
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
53
Open notional
$0.11
Total PnL
$-340.52
Realised
$5.60
Win rate
100%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 53- OVER
Lajal vs. Zhu: Match O/U 21.5
219 shares @ 48.7¢·now 0.1¢·exp Aug 5, 2026$0.11
$-106.35
- YES
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?
4217 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-20.48
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - March 7, 10AM ET
2116 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- JOEL SCHWAERZLER
Liberec: Joel Schwaerzler vs Martin Krumich
162 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 5, 2026$0.00
$-21.00
- YES
Will a player representing Argentina be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
110 shares @ 9.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 20, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET
106 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?
67 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-29.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET
57 shares @ 7.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$0.00
$-4.09
- THIAGO SEYBOTH WILD
Liberec: Jan Kumstat vs Thiago Seyboth Wild
47 shares @ 44.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 5, 2026$0.00
$-20.90
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYLajal vs. Zhu: Match O/U 21.5$109.19Jul 29, 12:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYLiberec: Joel Schwaerzler vs Martin Krumich$10.46Jul 29, 11:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYLiberec: Joel Schwaerzler vs Martin Krumich$11.23Jul 29, 10:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYLiberec: Jan Kumstat vs Thiago Seyboth Wild$10.23Jul 29, 09:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYLiberec: Jan Kumstat vs Thiago Seyboth Wild$11.20Jul 29, 06:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYEstoril Open: Henrique Rocha vs Pedro Martinez$7.16Jul 20, 19:12 UTC
- TRADESELLGenerali Open: Vit Kopriva vs Ignacio Buse$0.38Jul 20, 17:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYKopriva vs. Buse: Match O/U 23.5$18.40Jul 20, 14:54 UTC
- TRADESELLGenerali Open: Vit Kopriva vs Ignacio Buse$18.45Jul 20, 14:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYGenerali Open: Vit Kopriva vs Ignacio Buse$19.28Jul 20, 14:45 UTC
- TRADESELLSegovia: Yi Zhou vs Michael Geerts$19.40Jul 20, 14:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win on 2026-07-19?$11.00Jul 19, 21:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win on 2026-07-19?$10.30Jul 19, 19:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a player representing Argentina be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.45Jul 19, 14:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYSegovia: Yi Zhou vs Michael Geerts$15.22Jul 19, 12:51 UTC
- TRADESELLValorant: Trace Esports vs Nova Esports (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Alpha$14.68Jul 19, 10:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYValorant: Trace Esports vs Nova Esports (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Alpha$10.16Jul 19, 03:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill CF América win on 2026-07-18?$9.95Jul 19, 03:33 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET$0.00Jul 19, 03:31 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET$0.00Jul 19, 03:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
26/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 9 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 74/100.
9 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $11.80
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 23, 15:48 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 12:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.