Fatherly-Pheromone
0xb0cfc976897e93c28c35ca1187bc18eaa658ae32
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-760.81
Realised
$-185.43
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- NO
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 19?
269 shares @ 31.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-83.91
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on July 8?
198 shares @ 90.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 8, 2026$0.00
$-179.23
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on June 28?
174 shares @ 72.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.00
$-126.10
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on June 17?
112 shares @ 65.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-73.08
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on July 9?
75 shares @ 30.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$0.00
$-22.75
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on July 12?
59 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$0.00
$-15.45
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on June 28?
31 shares @ 71.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.00
$-22.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on May 5?
24 shares @ 67.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-16.38
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on June 30?
24 shares @ 8.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.12
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on May 14?
16 shares @ 49.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-7.95
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on July 19?$16.25Jul 19, 15:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on July 19?$15.40Jul 19, 15:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on July 19?$2.57Jul 19, 04:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on July 19?$3.71Jul 19, 04:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on July 19?$12.60Jul 19, 04:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on July 19?$10.67Jul 19, 04:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 19?$1.13Jul 19, 01:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 19?$1.24Jul 19, 00:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 19?$1.19Jul 19, 00:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 19?$1.30Jul 18, 23:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 19?$1.22Jul 18, 23:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 19?$1.41Jul 18, 23:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 19?$1.51Jul 18, 23:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 19?$1.18Jul 18, 23:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 19?$1.31Jul 18, 23:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 19?$1.27Jul 18, 23:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 19?$1.27Jul 18, 23:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 19?$0.08Jul 18, 23:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 19?$1.38Jul 18, 23:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 19?$1.99Jul 18, 22:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 45/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $3.27
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 12, 02:44 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 19, 15:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.