Superb-Cigarette
0xb0e05fe17103b2f5a1d8bae0fdf2a11be636024e
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
115
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-107.80
Realised
$45.30
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 115- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $50 and $60 on February 11?
2500 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 11, 2026$0.00
$-37.42
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $78,000 on February 2?
1004 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.02
- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $50 and $60 on February 15?
500 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on February 8?
332 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-2.66
- YES
Will the price of Solana be less than $70 on February 6?
325 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026$0.00
$-5.52
- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $110 and $120 on February 2?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on February 2?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on February 7?
200 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 7, 2026$0.00
$-9.10
- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on February 4?
188 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.51
- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on February 15?
100 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-4.60
Recent activity
- MAKER_REBATE$0.05Feb 18, 00:16 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET$19.80Feb 17, 14:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET$8.00Feb 17, 14:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET$1.00Feb 17, 14:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET$0.95Feb 17, 14:18 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET$1.89Feb 17, 14:15 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET$7.19Feb 17, 14:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET$5.00Feb 17, 14:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET$1.00Feb 17, 14:08 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET$18.17Feb 17, 13:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET$15.00Feb 17, 13:52 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down on February 17?$24.00Feb 17, 13:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on February 17?$40.00Feb 16, 16:04 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET$0.00Feb 13, 08:08 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$0.06Feb 13, 00:05 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET$0.00Feb 12, 14:15 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET$0.00Feb 12, 13:59 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET$0.00Feb 12, 13:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET$0.25Feb 12, 13:57 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET$5.00Feb 12, 13:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
19/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
38 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 45/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $3.84
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 12, 12:24 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 18, 00:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.