Left-People
0xb0e0c82b4bedbe68943cf7fc687b5929e0a1d85b
Wallet digest
Activity score
40/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
81
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-13.4K
Realised
$-3.0K
Win rate
26%
35 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 81- YES
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?
827 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-413.46
- YES
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?
789 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-394.50
- YES
Will France win on 2026-07-14?
739 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$0.00
$-369.50
- YES
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?
723 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-361.71
- YES
Will France win on 2026-07-18?
685 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 18, 2026$0.00
$-342.68
- NO
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?
661 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.00
$-330.54
- YES
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?
653 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-326.50
- NO
Will United States win on 2026-07-01?
622 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$0.00
$-311.05
- YES
Will Australia win on 2026-06-19?
571 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$0.00
$-285.50
- YES
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-29?
566 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$0.00
$-282.96
Recent activity
- MERGEWill Spain win on 2026-07-19?$237.00Jul 19, 21:17 UTC
- SPLITWill Spain win on 2026-07-19?$89.00Jul 19, 21:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spain win on 2026-07-19?$12.87Jul 19, 21:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spain win on 2026-07-19?$40.34Jul 19, 21:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spain win on 2026-07-19?$45.20Jul 19, 21:03 UTC
- SPLITWill Spain win on 2026-07-19?$53.00Jul 19, 21:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spain win on 2026-07-19?$3.27Jul 19, 21:01 UTC
- SPLITWill Spain win on 2026-07-19?$99.00Jul 19, 21:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spain win on 2026-07-19?$52.81Jul 19, 21:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spain win on 2026-07-19?$56.12Jul 19, 19:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spain win on 2026-07-19?$11.22Jul 19, 19:20 UTC
- SPLITWill Spain win on 2026-07-19?$94.00Jul 19, 19:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spain win on 2026-07-19?$5.44Jul 19, 19:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spain win on 2026-07-19?$1.13Jul 19, 19:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spain win on 2026-07-19?$17.45Jul 19, 19:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spain win on 2026-07-19?$82.04Jul 19, 19:16 UTC
- SPLITWill Spain win on 2026-07-19?$81.00Jul 19, 19:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spain win on 2026-07-19?$58.71Jul 19, 19:15 UTC
- SPLITWill Spain win on 2026-07-19?$117.00Jul 19, 19:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spain win on 2026-07-19?$4.69Jul 19, 19:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
67/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
26% win rate over 35 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
38 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 32/100.
35 closed markets, 26% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $27.67
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 18, 22:32 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 19, 21:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 35 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.