Hospitable-Polyester
0xb0e2aea0e1b7f639fcacf96b19a120c83c45b98c
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.4K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Trump announce Kevin Warsh as next Fed Chair in 2025?
2800 shares @ 10.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-288.64
- YES
Will Trump announce Chris Waller as next Fed Chair in 2025?
1819 shares @ 11.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-201.00
- NO
US government shutdown by October 1?
1000 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 1, 2025$0.00
$-330.00
- YES
Will the September 2025 unemployment rate be 4.1%?
1000 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 3, 2025$0.00
$-14.00
- YES
Will annual inflation increase by 3.1% in September?
1000 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 15, 2025$0.00
$-290.00
- YES
Will two people dissent the September Fed decision?
800 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-160.00
- YES
Will the September 2025 unemployment rate be 4.2%?
500 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 3, 2025$0.00
$-35.00
- YES
Will US GDP growth in Q3 2025 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?
350 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 30, 2025$0.00
$-59.50
- YES
Will US GDP growth in Q3 2025 be between 1.5% and 2.0?
350 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 30, 2025$0.00
$-56.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$600.63Feb 7, 23:09 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$967.74Jan 5, 06:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump announce Chris Waller as next Fed Chair in 2025?$201.00Nov 29, 19:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump announce Kevin Warsh as next Fed Chair in 2025?$100.00Nov 29, 19:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump announce Kevin Hassett as next Fed Chair in 2025?$299.60Nov 29, 19:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$300.00Nov 21, 17:08 UTC
- TRADESELLNo change in Bank of England's interest rates after December 2025 meeting?$94.02Nov 21, 17:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$600.00Nov 21, 13:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?$524.51Nov 19, 23:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Bank of England's interest rates after December 2025 meeting?$200.00Nov 9, 12:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?$200.00Nov 9, 12:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill annual inflation increase by 3.1% in September?$290.00Oct 9, 01:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the September 2025 unemployment rate be 4.2%?$18.90Oct 3, 02:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump announce Kevin Hassett as next Fed Chair in 2025?$35.09Sep 25, 20:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the September 2025 unemployment rate be 4.2%?$0.70Sep 25, 12:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the September 2025 unemployment rate be 4.2%?$0.35Sep 25, 12:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the September 2025 unemployment rate be 4.2%?$2.59Sep 25, 12:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the September 2025 unemployment rate be 4.2%?$0.28Sep 24, 16:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the September 2025 unemployment rate be 4.2%?$7.28Sep 24, 13:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the September 2025 unemployment rate be 4.2%?$3.50Sep 24, 13:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $71.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 12, 20:39 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 7, 23:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".