Natural-Roundabout
0xb0e6a54467be98401c547df899e1e74fce963f0d
Wallet digest
Activity score
51/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$0.37
Total PnL
$-52.36
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Netanyahu out by June 30?
33 shares @ 15.0¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.37
$-4.63
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET
3000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 20 to April 22, 2026?
36 shares @ 26.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026$0.00
$-9.63
- YES
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-04?
12 shares @ 68.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-8.09
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-04?$8.17May 4, 13:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET$5.36May 1, 15:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET$26.78May 1, 15:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 18 to April 20, 2026?$0.00Apr 22, 18:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 20 to April 22, 2026?$10.00Apr 22, 10:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?$40.50Apr 21, 18:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?$30.00Apr 21, 11:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 18 to April 20, 2026?$10.00Apr 20, 12:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Juan Pablo Velasco win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?$6.09Apr 18, 17:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?$0.00Apr 18, 17:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?$0.00Apr 18, 17:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?$42.17Apr 17, 18:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?$30.00Apr 17, 10:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?$30.00Apr 16, 18:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?$100.00Apr 15, 19:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?$133.76Apr 15, 11:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?$5.00Apr 13, 09:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 14°C or higher on March 19?$0.00Mar 27, 12:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C on March 19?$0.00Mar 27, 12:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Juan Pablo Velasco win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?$5.00Mar 23, 17:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $12.78
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 16, 08:02 UTC
- Last active
- May 4, 13:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.