Noisy-Cluster
0xb0e80ce51cb388cc67da418a009846d707382923
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$14.80
Total PnL
$-40.91
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $37,500 in July?
15 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$14.80
$0.00
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 February 23-March 1?
1200 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-2.40
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 26 to February 28, 2026?
665 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.33
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on March 7?
550 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.10
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?
339 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 3?
325 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.30
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,800 and $2,900 on December 11?
250 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 11, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on January 10?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?
202 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 2, 2026$0.00
$-2.60
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $37,500 in July?$14.80Jul 18, 03:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on June 3?$119.12Jun 3, 18:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on June 2?$10.01Jun 2, 18:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on June 3?$119.01Jun 2, 12:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?$1.05Jun 2, 12:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on June 2?$10.00Jun 2, 12:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?$130.13May 26, 22:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?$130.01May 26, 11:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 25?$1.00May 25, 18:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?$130.13May 25, 18:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 25?$1.00May 25, 11:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?$130.01May 22, 10:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 13?$130.13May 13, 18:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 13?$130.01May 13, 13:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on May 8?$30.03May 13, 13:10 UTC
- REDEEMIran closes its airspace by May 8?$99.90May 13, 13:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on May 8?$30.00May 8, 11:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$1.05May 8, 11:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 8?$97.80May 8, 11:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 6?$129.13May 8, 11:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $89.53
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 18, 10:33 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 18, 03:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.