Frequent-Zephyr
0xb0ea502808ddbceaa02430ac033905f7735f4afa
Wallet digest
Activity score
39/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
6
Open notional
$0.98
Total PnL
$-15.90
Realised
$23.02
Win rate
20%
5 closed
Largest open positions
- GONZALO BUENO
Kingston: Valentin Royer vs Gonzalo Bueno
5 shares @ 21.0¢·now 20.5¢·exp Aug 27, 2026$0.98
$-0.02
- YES
Will Jakub Mensik win the 2026 Men's French Open?
141 shares @ 7.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-10.89
- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
101 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-8.00
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
47 shares @ 14.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?
36 shares @ 22.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$0.00
$-8.00
- DR CONGO
England vs. DR Congo: Team to Advance
15 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYKingston: Valentin Royer vs Gonzalo Bueno$1.04Aug 20, 03:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYCincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Flavio Cobolli AND Cincinnati Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Arthur Fils$2.00Aug 20, 03:26 UTC
- REDEEMCincinnati Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jakub Mensik$8.33Aug 19, 19:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYCincinnati Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jakub Mensik$3.10Aug 19, 15:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ben Shelton Win ATP Montreal$2.90Aug 14, 04:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYCincinnati Open: Rinky Hijikata vs Gael Monfils AND Cincinnati Open: Marton Fucsovics vs Terence Atmane$2.00Aug 13, 21:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ben Shelton Win ATP Montreal$2.03Aug 13, 21:44 UTC
- TRADESELLNational Bank Open: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Hubert Hurkacz$5.84Aug 7, 21:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYNational Bank Open: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Hubert Hurkacz$5.16Aug 7, 15:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.09Jul 19, 21:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.18Jul 19, 21:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$37.55Jul 19, 04:07 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 19, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 18, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 17, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 16, 00:12 UTC
- REDEEMEngland vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$12.22Jul 15, 21:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 15, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYEngland vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$5.65Jul 14, 06:54 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 14, 00:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
16/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
20% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
18 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 72/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $5.65
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 22, 00:17 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 20, 03:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.