Agonizing-March
0xb0f925b35236556eae0ab5f50479bde773bd6f7a
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-22.4K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET
7300 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2025$0.00
$-3.6K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET
4526 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2025$0.00
$-2.3K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET
4514 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2025$0.00
$-2.3K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET
4448 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2025$0.00
$-2.2K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET
4350 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2025$0.00
$-2.2K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET
4300 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2025$0.00
$-2.1K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET
3850 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2025$0.00
$-1.9K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET
3800 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2025$0.00
$-1.9K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET
3610 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2025$0.00
$-1.8K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET
3570 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2025$0.00
$-1.8K
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$49.00Jul 21, 07:27 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 20, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 19, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 18, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 17, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 16, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 15, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$8.04Apr 1, 07:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Bridgerton: Season 4" be the top US Netflix show this week? (February 3, 2026)$1.00Apr 1, 06:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on February 3?$1.00Apr 1, 06:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill "M3GAN 2.0" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? (February 3)$1.01Apr 1, 06:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "M3GAN 2.0" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? (February 3)$1.00Feb 3, 03:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Bridgerton: Season 4" be the top US Netflix show this week? (February 3, 2026)$1.00Feb 3, 03:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on February 3?$1.00Feb 3, 03:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 9?$1.03Feb 3, 03:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 9?$1.00Jan 6, 03:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill 'A Minecraft Movie' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?$1.04Jan 6, 03:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Rockin' Around The Christmas Tree - Brenda Lee be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?$1.04Jan 6, 03:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rockin' Around The Christmas Tree - Brenda Lee be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?$1.00Dec 15, 06:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'A Minecraft Movie' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?$1.00Dec 9, 03:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
27 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 63/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $734.65
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 5, 06:17 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 07:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.