Delicious-Interchange
0xb0fcb476dbd2cc244dfba3e0653706133f2013c6
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$6.57
Total PnL
$-12.72
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
6 shares @ 48.0¢·now 41.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.59
$-0.41
- NO
Trump out as President before GTA VI?
4 shares @ 48.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$2.10
$0.10
- YES
Will Trump say "European Union" or "EU" during meetings with Chancellor Merz?
2 shares @ 69.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$1.87
$0.58
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 4PM ET
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will "White House" be said at the Oscars?
105 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will fewer than 10 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 10-16?
31 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Gold Medal" or "Gold Medallist" this week? (February 22)
29 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 15+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?
11 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
11 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Epstein" during the 2026 State of the Union address?
8 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill fewer than 10 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 10-16?$1.00Mar 16, 02:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Polymarket" be said at the Oscars?$1.00Mar 16, 02:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "White House" be said at the Oscars?$1.00Mar 16, 02:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by end of 2026?$3.00Mar 13, 19:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$4.00Mar 13, 18:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President before GTA VI?$2.00Feb 28, 22:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "European Union" or "EU" during meetings with Chancellor Merz?$1.29Feb 28, 21:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $80 on February 25?$1.00Feb 25, 03:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Border" 7+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?$1.00Feb 22, 23:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 15+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?$1.00Feb 22, 23:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Epstein" during the 2026 State of the Union address?$1.00Feb 22, 23:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Winter Olympic" or "Winter Olympics" this week? (February 22)$0.10Feb 22, 22:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 4PM ET$1.00Feb 22, 22:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Winter Olympic" or "Winter Olympics" this week? (February 22)$1.00Feb 22, 22:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Gold Medal" or "Gold Medallist" this week? (February 22)$1.00Feb 22, 22:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
15 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 53/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 15
- Avg trade size
- $1.36
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 22, 22:12 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 16, 02:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.