Present-Mirror
0xb102e3bef9a6e16b2e57a7a296b13d7a07a4c73d
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
106
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-6.0K
Realised
$48.24
Win rate
50%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 106- YES
Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
170000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-504.39
- YES
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
8333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-24.99
- YES
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
6429 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-44.99
- NO
Will Broadcom Inc. (AVGO) beat quarterly earnings?
4716 shares @ 5.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 11, 2025$0.00
$-242.76
- YES
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
3333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2738 shares @ 5.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-149.76
- YES
Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will Adobe (ADBE) beat quarterly earnings?
1830 shares @ 6.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-113.93
- NO
Will Costco Wholesale (COST) beat quarterly earnings?
1616 shares @ 8.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 11, 2025$0.00
$-140.46
- CÔTE DIVOIRE
Spread: Côte d'Ivoire (-1.5)
1400 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$0.00
$-65.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 16, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 15, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 14, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 13, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 12, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 11, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 10, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 9, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 8, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 7, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 6, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 5, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 4, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 3, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 2, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 1, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Score$151.93Jun 30, 20:20 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 30, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 29, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 28, 00:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
19/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
50% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
20 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $81.70
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 18, 18:19 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 16, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.