Wallet digest

active

Activity score

38/100

Performance measurable

Open positions

Open notional

$4.98

Total PnL

$-650.22

Realised

$-168.84

Win rate

5 closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 25

DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET
5 shares @ 86.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026
$4.98
$0.70
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET
2500 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026
$0.00
$-50.00
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET
188 shares @ 55.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 19, 2026
$0.00
$-104.48
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET
160 shares @ 14.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 19, 2026
$0.00
$-22.54
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET
98 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026
$0.00
$-41.05
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET
96 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 19, 2026
$0.00
$-10.53
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET
94 shares @ 24.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 19, 2026
$0.00
$-22.72
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET
87 shares @ 32.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026
$0.00
$-28.45
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET
70 shares @ 22.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026
$0.00
$-15.82
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET
67 shares @ 18.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 19, 2026
$0.00
$-12.53

Recent activity

TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET$4.86Jan 21, 10:26 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET$25.00Jan 21, 10:11 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET$25.00Jan 21, 10:11 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET$13.83Jan 21, 09:46 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET$9.38Jan 21, 09:36 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET$11.64Jan 19, 19:02 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET$8.91Jan 19, 18:51 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET$6.05Jan 19, 18:17 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET$6.05Jan 19, 18:17 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET$4.40Jan 19, 16:33 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET$4.40Jan 19, 16:33 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET$4.51Jan 19, 16:32 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$24.86Jan 19, 15:32 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$8.58Jan 19, 15:23 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$9.12Jan 19, 15:23 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET$1.32Jan 19, 15:07 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET$1.32Jan 19, 15:07 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET$1.32Jan 19, 15:07 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET$1.32Jan 19, 15:07 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET$1.32Jan 19, 15:07 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity42 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence17 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry60 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk71 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 45
Avg trade size: $4.75
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: Jan 19, 11:20 UTC
Last active: Jan 21, 10:26 UTC
Win rate sample: 5 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".

View on Polymarket View on Polygonscan

updated 13:24:12 UTC·src:Polymarket Data