Quixotic-Return
0xb10aba517eecbdec9b11884c4f5cca269ecb5b24
Activity score
66/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
14
Open notional
$991.57
Total PnL
$-259.29
Realised
$1.58
Win rate
29%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
Will Microsoft acquire TikTok?
359 shares @ 85.7¢·now 90.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$323.94
$16.15
- YES
Will the Republican Party win the SC-02 House seat?
253 shares @ 85.0¢·now 80.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$202.01
$-12.63
- NO
Trump out as President before 2027?
160 shares @ 84.0¢·now 83.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$133.60
$-0.80
- NO
Will Aubry Bracco win Survivor Season 50?
526 shares @ 23.2¢·now 19.5¢·exp May 20, 2026$102.57
$-19.72
- YES
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
538 shares @ 23.0¢·now 15.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$80.68
$-43.28
- YES
Discord IPO before 2027?
58 shares @ 66.0¢·now 63.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$36.66
$-1.65
- NO
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?
52 shares @ 76.0¢·now 58.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$30.02
$-9.32
- YES
Will Discord’s market cap be less than $15B at market close on IPO day?
180 shares @ 43.0¢·now 14.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$26.64
$-50.76
- NO
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?
118 shares @ 46.4¢·now 21.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$25.29
$-29.30
- NO
Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?
159 shares @ 24.0¢·now 9.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$14.31
$-23.85
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$5.107d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027?$3.478d ago
- TRADESELLWill Nathan MacKinnon win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?$63.238d ago
- TRADESELLWill Nathan MacKinnon win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?$135.009d ago
- TRADESELLWill Nathan MacKinnon win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?$115.209d ago
- TRADESELLWill the Republican Party win the SC-02 House seat?$132.729d ago
- TRADESELLWill Drake be the top Spotify artist for 2026?$1.809d ago
- TRADESELLWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$18.8410d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$130.8810d ago
- TRADESELLWill Joe Mazzulla win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?$0.3512d ago
- TRADESELLWill Joe Mazzulla win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?$39.7612d ago
- TRADESELLWill Joe Mazzulla win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?$51.5512d ago
- TRADESELLWill Joe Mazzulla win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?$79.5012d ago
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk / X (Twitter) acquire TikTok?$24.2012d ago
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk / X (Twitter) acquire TikTok?$134.4812d ago
- TRADESELLWill Eric Swalwell advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?$150.6113d ago
- TRADESELLWill Eric Swalwell advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?$150.0613d ago
- TRADESELLWill Nathan MacKinnon win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?$25.2014d ago
- TRADESELLWill Aubry Bracco win Survivor Season 50?$6.6914d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Aubry Bracco win Survivor Season 50?$129.3614d ago
Score breakdown
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $74.93
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 25d ago
- Last active
- 7d ago
Score is a 0–100 composite of open position size, breadth (number of trades), realised + unrealised ROI, win rate on closed markets, and category specialisation.