Quixotic-Return
0xb10aba517eecbdec9b11884c4f5cca269ecb5b24
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
23
Open notional
$2.8K
Total PnL
$-228.33
Realised
$2.19
Win rate
25%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- NO
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
2372 shares @ 50.0¢·now 66.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.6K
$397.38
- YES
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
2372 shares @ 50.0¢·now 33.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$788.82
$-397.38
- YES
Will the Republican Party win the SC-02 House seat?
265 shares @ 84.7¢·now 80.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$213.57
$-11.03
- NO
Will Tom Begich win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
104 shares @ 67.7¢·now 70.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$73.11
$2.36
- YES
Discord IPO before 2027?
58 shares @ 66.0¢·now 61.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$35.52
$-2.78
- NO
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?
52 shares @ 76.0¢·now 51.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$26.66
$-12.68
- NO
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?
118 shares @ 46.4¢·now 21.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$24.70
$-29.89
- NO
Will Movsar Evloev be the UFC Featherweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
10 shares @ 58.0¢·now 54.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.70
$-0.37
- YES
Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026?
24 shares @ 13.0¢·now 19.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$4.58
$1.45
- NO
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?
6 shares @ 54.0¢·now 57.2¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$3.45
$0.19
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.21Jun 14, 00:10 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$5.56Jun 13, 00:35 UTC
- YIELD$0.21Jun 13, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.21Jun 12, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.21Jun 11, 00:13 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$2.79Jun 10, 00:35 UTC
- YIELD$0.21Jun 10, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bill Hill advance from the AK-AL primary election?$2.40Jun 9, 18:35 UTC
- YIELD$0.21Jun 9, 00:16 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$1.75Jun 8, 00:35 UTC
- YIELD$0.21Jun 8, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.21Jun 7, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.21Jun 6, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.21Jun 5, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.21Jun 4, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.21Jun 3, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$2.25Jun 2, 18:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Movsar Evloev be the UFC Featherweight Champion on December 31, 2026?$6.15Jun 2, 18:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026?$3.24Jun 2, 16:00 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$7.70Jun 2, 00:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 15
- Avg trade size
- $8.65
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 20, 18:01 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.