Filthy-Tachometer
0xb11f684c2e491fbb3a3777b9836c8d6b1798336f
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
46
Open notional
$415.90
Total PnL
$-1.2K
Realised
$-109.76
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 46- NO
Iran full airspace closure by August 31?
60 shares @ 71.3¢·now 67.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$40.20
$-2.60
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on July 9?
50 shares @ 79.1¢·now 80.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$40.02
$0.47
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on July 9?
200 shares @ 22.6¢·now 20.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$39.90
$-5.30
- YES
Will Shannon Taylor be the VA-01 Democratic nominee?
40 shares @ 75.0¢·now 97.5¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$39.02
$9.02
- NO
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?
34 shares @ 14.9¢·now 89.6¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$30.46
$25.40
- YES
Will ONSIDE GAMING Win Challengers 2026: Korea WDG Split 2
40 shares @ 87.9¢·now 54.9¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$21.98
$-13.18
- NO
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?
63 shares @ 8.0¢·now 34.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2027$21.73
$16.69
- NO
Will the next Grok model released by xAI debut at a score of at least 1460 by December 31, 2026?
48 shares @ 20.9¢·now 44.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$21.36
$11.32
- YES
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?
20 shares @ 92.9¢·now 90.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2027$18.02
$-0.56
- YES
Will the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1460 by December 31, 2026?
20 shares @ 92.0¢·now 84.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$16.98
$-1.42
Recent activity
- REWARD$7.17Jul 10, 00:00 UTC
- REDEEMS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 9?$20.00Jul 9, 22:34 UTC
- REDEEMS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on July 9?$39.98Jul 9, 22:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on July 9?$30.80Jul 9, 17:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on July 9?$50.00Jul 9, 16:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on July 9?$1.09Jul 9, 14:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on July 9?$2.58Jul 9, 13:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on July 9?$2.52Jul 9, 13:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on July 9?$2.04Jul 9, 13:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran military action against a Gulf State on July 10?$4.23Jul 9, 13:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 9?$13.60Jul 9, 13:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on July 9?$0.61Jul 9, 13:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran military action against a Gulf State on July 10?$4.17Jul 9, 13:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on July 9?$1.02Jul 9, 13:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on July 9?$0.23Jul 9, 12:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 9?$5.60Jul 9, 12:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on July 9?$8.10Jul 9, 12:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on July 9?$6.00Jul 9, 12:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran full airspace closure by August 31?$7.20Jul 9, 12:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on July 9?$0.11Jul 9, 12:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 50/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $6.87
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 9, 10:31 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 10, 00:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.