Itchy-Bunch
0xb120760adf92ded6c0f9a2e7c71a351e7ac24786
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
9
Open notional
$153.59
Total PnL
$-348.28
Realised
$-36.33
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
151 shares @ 82.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$151.07
$25.99
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
3 shares @ 63.0¢·now 99.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.52
$0.92
- NO
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?
7989 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-39.99
- NO
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?
1300 shares @ 4.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-53.00
- NO
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
300 shares @ 43.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-131.60
- YES
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by April 30, 2026?
168 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-42.00
- NO
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
103 shares @ 61.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-62.58
- YES
Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by April 30?
25 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-7.69
Recent activity
- REDEEMKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?$50.72May 2, 05:46 UTC
- REDEEMUS escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?$321.20May 2, 05:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia enter Novyi Donbas by April 30?$1.20Apr 28, 10:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia enter Novyi Donbas by April 30?$1.68Apr 28, 08:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia enter Novyi Donbas by April 30?$0.00Apr 28, 05:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia enter Novyi Donbas by April 30?$3.67Apr 26, 04:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia enter Novyi Donbas by April 30?$2.33Apr 26, 04:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by April 30, 2026?$14.40Apr 25, 12:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?$58.80Apr 21, 00:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?$1.00Apr 18, 13:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia enter Novyi Donbas by April 30?$10.90Apr 17, 21:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia enter Novyi Donbas by April 30?$0.54Apr 17, 12:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia enter Novyi Donbas by April 30?$1.00Apr 17, 12:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia enter Novyi Donbas by April 30?$1.00Apr 17, 12:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia enter Novyi Donbas by April 30?$1.00Apr 17, 12:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia enter Novyi Donbas by April 30?$1.00Apr 17, 12:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia enter Novyi Donbas by April 30?$2.66Apr 17, 12:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?$1.39Apr 16, 16:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?$1.85Apr 16, 16:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?$0.62Apr 16, 16:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $26.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 9, 20:35 UTC
- Last active
- May 2, 05:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.