Timely-Belief
0xb1248f84fd9dda0275a28c6a1e3031eae39fa316
Wallet digest
Activity score
99/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$51.61
Total PnL
$15.03
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- PERRY
MVP Fight Night: Nate Diaz vs. Mike Perry
23 shares @ 65.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$23.00
$8.05
- YES
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
17 shares @ 58.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$16.60
$6.97
- YES
Will the price of XRP be above $0.80 on April 9?
12 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026$12.01
$0.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$9.75May 25, 05:59 UTC
- REDEEMPistons vs. Cavaliers$27.00May 25, 05:59 UTC
- TRADEBUY MVP Fight Night: Nate Diaz vs. Mike Perry$15.11May 12, 03:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYPistons vs. Cavaliers$16.39May 11, 11:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$34.96Apr 7, 06:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $0.80 on April 9?$12.00Apr 7, 06:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$20.00Apr 7, 06:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$15.00Apr 7, 06:34 UTC
- MERGEWill Belgium win Eurovision 2026?$24.00Mar 30, 08:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $170 on February 6?$10.01Mar 30, 08:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,400 on March 10?$13.01Mar 30, 08:22 UTC
- SPLITWill Belgium win Eurovision 2026?$24.00Mar 30, 08:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$21.96Mar 9, 03:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.02Mar 9, 03:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,400 on March 10?$13.00Mar 9, 03:21 UTC
- SPLITWill Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$22.00Mar 9, 03:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $170 on February 6?$10.00Feb 4, 07:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$31.65Feb 4, 07:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.32Feb 4, 07:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $78,000 January 19-25?$13.01Feb 4, 07:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $43.05
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 9, 12:28 UTC
- Last active
- May 25, 05:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".