Acclaimed-Former
0xb13366ce0e1b2aa8c21a93f4c0cc4ed3f3e2c5ad
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
31
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-9.2K
Realised
$-4.5K
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 31- NO
Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 18?
11554 shares @ 9.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.1K
- YES
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 70% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?
5079 shares @ 12.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-631.73
- NO
Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 22?
2960 shares @ 7.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-229.68
- NO
Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 31?
1036 shares @ 5.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-59.09
- YES
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark by?
642 shares @ 23.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-152.62
- HEAT
Heat vs. Knicks
606 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-200.00
- BUCKS
76ers vs. Bucks
583 shares @ 38.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-225.00
- LAKERS
Lakers vs. Spurs
536 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 8, 2026$0.00
$-150.00
- LAKERS
Lakers vs. Rockets
490 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 27, 2026$0.00
$-151.79
- YES
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?
367 shares @ 47.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-175.57
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYLakers vs. Rockets$155.00Apr 27, 02:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYJazz vs. Thunder$29.00Jan 8, 03:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYLakers vs. Spurs$150.00Jan 8, 02:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google Gemini 3 score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark by?$10.40Jan 7, 17:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google Gemini 3 score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark by?$32.79Jan 7, 17:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google Gemini 3 score at least 70% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?$25.08Jan 7, 17:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google Gemini 3 score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark by?$56.72Jan 7, 01:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google Gemini 3 score at least 70% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?$406.56Jan 7, 01:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google Gemini 3 score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark by?$52.70Jan 7, 01:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google Gemini 3 score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?$175.57Jan 7, 01:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google Gemini 3 score at least 70% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?$200.11Jan 7, 01:37 UTC
- TRADESELLGemini 3.0 Flash released by December 18?$6.54Dec 17, 14:56 UTC
- TRADESELLGemini 3.0 Flash released by December 18?$21.78Dec 17, 14:54 UTC
- TRADESELLGemini 3.0 Flash released by December 18?$12.75Dec 17, 14:53 UTC
- TRADESELLGemini 3.0 Flash released by December 18?$3.97Dec 17, 14:53 UTC
- TRADESELLGemini 3.0 Flash released by December 18?$2.21Dec 17, 14:53 UTC
- TRADESELLGemini 3.0 Flash released by December 22?$40.85Dec 17, 14:52 UTC
- TRADESELLGemini 3.0 Flash released by December 22?$1.39Dec 17, 14:52 UTC
- TRADESELLGemini 3.0 Flash released by December 22?$1.00Dec 17, 14:52 UTC
- TRADESELLGemini 3.0 Flash released by December 31?$14.26Dec 17, 14:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
22/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 53/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $47.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 14, 05:04 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 27, 02:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.