0xb134f3aaf6fdacdc5eab3d10bec53a56981c3e8a
0xb134f3aaf6fdacdc5eab3d10bec53a56981c3e8a
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.5K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Musk say "China" 3+ times during the Q1 2025 Tesla earnings call?
1000 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2025$0.00
$-280.00
- YES
Andrew Tate granted U.S. asylum before April?
900 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.80
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down on April 24?
785 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2025$0.00
$-384.65
- YES
Will West Ham win on 2025-04-19?
500 shares @ 66.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2025$0.00
$-330.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 47-48°F on March 23?
490 shares @ 64.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2025$0.00
$-313.60
- YES
Will Uruguay beat Bolivia?
385 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2025$0.00
$-92.40
- NO
Will Ecuador beat Venezuela?
130 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2025$0.00
$-36.40
- YES
Will Susan Crawford win by less than 2%?
25 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2025$0.00
$-3.25
- NO
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 51-52°F on March 24?
15 shares @ 72.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2025$0.00
$-10.80
- LUCKNOW
Delhi Capitals vs Lucknow Super Giants
5 shares @ 94.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2025$0.00
$-4.70
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on April 24?$384.65Apr 23, 05:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Musk say "China" 3+ times during the Q1 2025 Tesla earnings call?$107.80Apr 21, 07:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Musk say "China" 3+ times during the Q1 2025 Tesla earnings call?$7.00Apr 21, 07:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Musk say "China" 3+ times during the Q1 2025 Tesla earnings call?$18.20Apr 21, 07:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Musk say "China" 3+ times during the Q1 2025 Tesla earnings call?$116.20Apr 21, 07:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Musk say "China" 3+ times during the Q1 2025 Tesla earnings call?$30.80Apr 21, 07:00 UTC
- REDEEMBarcelona Open: Karen Khachanov vs. Holger Rune$190.00Apr 21, 02:33 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down on April 19?$475.00Apr 21, 02:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBarcelona Open: Karen Khachanov vs. Holger Rune$117.80Apr 19, 07:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill West Ham win on 2025-04-19?$3.30Apr 18, 07:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill West Ham win on 2025-04-19?$158.40Apr 18, 07:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill West Ham win on 2025-04-19?$168.30Apr 18, 07:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down on April 19?$237.50Apr 18, 06:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Africa" during Meloni visit on April 17?$685.00Apr 18, 03:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Africa" during Meloni visit on April 17?$219.20Apr 17, 07:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jimmy Patronis win by 30-35%?$220.00Apr 17, 02:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Susan Crawford win by less than 2%?$3.25Apr 1, 16:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jimmy Patronis win by 30-35%?$218.90Apr 1, 09:18 UTC
- TRADEBUY Andrew Tate granted U.S. asylum before April?$1.80Mar 31, 14:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be between 64-65°F on March 26?$220.00Mar 28, 03:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
36 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $76.86
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 23, 03:47 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 23, 05:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.