Grounded-Lute
0xb137c7b51080da71dd68ba59dab1b481b18a66c8
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-12.5K
Realised
$61.65
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 65-104
30850 shares @ 12.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-3.8K
- YES
2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, R Senate, D House
13000 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-3.3K
- YES
Democrats win popular vote by 7% or more?
10204 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-499.99
- YES
2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, D Senate, D House
10000 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-1.6K
- YES
Democrats win popular vote by 6-7%?
7500 shares @ 5.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-420.00
- YES
Will Republicans have 49 or fewer seats in Senate after election?
6000 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-720.00
- YES
Will Trump win no swing states?
5642 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-956.94
- NO
Will a Republican win Texas in the 2024 US Presidential Election?
5186 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-362.99
- YES
Will a Democrat win Florida in the 2024 US Presidential Election?
3753 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-300.00
- YES
Will Trump win 2 swing states?
3175 shares @ 8.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-263.65
Recent activity
- REWARD$1.88Nov 7, 00:01 UTC
- TRADESELL2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 105-154$15.37Nov 6, 09:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$56.60Nov 6, 09:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a Republican win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?$2.2KNov 6, 02:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$12.5KNov 6, 02:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$194.04Nov 6, 00:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$150.83Nov 6, 00:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$1.6KNov 6, 00:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$39.20Nov 6, 00:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$288.00Nov 6, 00:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$4.62Nov 6, 00:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$4.29Nov 6, 00:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$784.00Nov 6, 00:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$98.75Nov 6, 00:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$4.28Nov 6, 00:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$120.60Nov 6, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$239.19Nov 6, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$101.50Nov 6, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$80.40Nov 6, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$4.49Nov 6, 00:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $576.79
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 5, 03:11 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 7, 00:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".