Soggy-Coverall-Trust
0xb13ce5667fe3a75fbf8558bd091405446dd5fc9b
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
58
Open notional
$0.09
Total PnL
$-0.91
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 58- NO
NYC Air Quality Index below 100 by July 21?
5 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.5¢·exp Jul 21, 2026$0.03
$0.02
- YES
Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?
5 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.3¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$0.01
$0.00
- YES
Will Demeke Mekonnen be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
5 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.2¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.01
$0.00
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in London be 12°C or below on July 22?
5 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$0.01
$-0.00
- YES
Will Declan Rice win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
5 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$0.01
$-0.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on July 22?
5 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$0.00
$-0.01
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 114°F or higher on July 22?
5 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$0.00
$-0.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on July 22?
5 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$0.00
$-0.01
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on July 22?
5 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$0.00
$-0.01
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C or higher on July 22?
5 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$0.00
$-0.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPY) closes above $725 on July 22?$0.00Jul 22, 19:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPY) closes above $720 on July 22?$0.01Jul 22, 18:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on July 22?$0.01Jul 22, 18:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on July 22?$0.01Jul 22, 15:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on July 22?$0.01Jul 22, 14:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 22?$0.01Jul 22, 12:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on July 22?$0.01Jul 22, 11:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on July 22?$0.00Jul 22, 11:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on July 22?$0.00Jul 22, 11:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 11°C on July 22?$0.01Jul 22, 10:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 42°C on July 22?$0.01Jul 22, 10:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on July 22?$0.01Jul 22, 10:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on July 22?$0.01Jul 22, 10:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be 114°F or higher on July 22?$0.01Jul 22, 10:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on July 22?$0.01Jul 22, 09:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C or higher on July 22?$0.01Jul 22, 09:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 36°C on July 22?$0.00Jul 22, 09:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on July 22?$0.01Jul 22, 09:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 36°C on July 22?$0.00Jul 22, 09:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 12°C or below on July 22?$0.01Jul 22, 08:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 47/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.01
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 21, 08:44 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 19:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.