Enlightened-Corral
0xb1421d8e617a864b192c6a32751ad7bab74aa43f
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-73.25
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?
1249 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-3.80
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 2?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?
950 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.90
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on December 18?
695 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 18, 2025$0.00
$-2.10
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on April 5?
339 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 5, 2026$0.00
$-0.95
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on March 3?
300 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-9.30
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 61°F or higher on October 27?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 27, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the US next strike Iran on January 23, 2026 (ET)?
200 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.20
- YES
Will Claude 5 be released by March 15, 2026?
154 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?$14.71Jul 18, 07:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?$14.70Jul 17, 09:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.01Jun 28, 04:48 UTC
- REDEEMBank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$12.01Jun 16, 05:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $1.10 and $1.20 on June 14?$69.07Jun 14, 19:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.10 and $1.20 on June 14?$69.00Jun 14, 11:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be less than $20 on June 17?$1.07Jun 14, 11:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.00Jun 14, 11:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$12.00Jun 14, 11:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?$84.08Jun 3, 18:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?$84.00Jun 2, 10:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?$84.08May 25, 18:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?$84.00May 22, 11:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 19?$84.17May 19, 18:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 19?$84.01May 19, 12:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $86,000 May 4-10?$84.08May 11, 06:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $86,000 May 4-10?$84.01May 10, 13:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$84.08May 10, 13:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$84.00May 6, 13:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?$84.08May 6, 13:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
26 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 54/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $54.08
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 24, 10:38 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 18, 07:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.