Black-Effective
0xb15320f57bcbda5439149e68d0d3d0edd885c058
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
41
Open notional
$41.83
Total PnL
$-279.81
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 41- NO
Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on April 1?
42 shares @ 93.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$41.83
$2.80
- YES
Will XRP reach $2.50 November 3-9?
276 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 10, 2025$0.00
$-5.01
- YES
Will the price of Solana be above $150 on November 18?
274 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 18, 2025$0.00
$-1.92
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,400 on November 16?
274 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$0.00
$-2.74
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 55-56°F on November 13?
272 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 13, 2025$0.00
$-4.37
- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $150 and $160 on November 18?
271 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 18, 2025$0.00
$-2.98
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on November 26?
267 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 26, 2025$0.00
$-3.74
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on November 30?
265 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-3.71
- YES
Will the price of XRP be above $2.50 on November 14?
264 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 14, 2025$0.00
$-1.85
- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $120 and $130 on November 17?
263 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 17, 2025$0.00
$-2.89
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on June 3?$1.23Jun 2, 19:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP reach $1.40 May 25-31?$3.33May 31, 09:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on May 23?$130.20May 29, 11:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on May 23?$0.20May 23, 08:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on May 23?$128.44May 22, 19:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on May 17?$143.63May 22, 19:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on May 18?$2.18May 17, 23:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on May 17?$142.19May 16, 18:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 11?$132.38May 16, 18:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 11?$129.60May 10, 16:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on March 29?$144.44May 10, 16:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $97k November 3-9?$0.00Apr 30, 19:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBNB Up or Down - April 18, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET$1.03Apr 18, 19:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $2.20 on December 9?$0.00Apr 16, 20:56 UTC
- REDEEMNorth Florida Ospreys vs. Tennessee Volunteers$0.00Apr 10, 15:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on April 1?$0.01Apr 1, 02:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on April 1?$0.03Apr 1, 02:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on April 1?$38.99Apr 1, 02:05 UTC
- REDEEMColumbia Lions vs. Connecticut Huskies$0.00Apr 1, 02:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $110,000 on November 11?$0.00Mar 31, 01:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $37.83
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 25, 11:41 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 2, 19:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".