Shallow-Response
0xb157398924905d1a0ddb6f370a9cf903716b3365
Wallet digest
Activity score
78/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
19
Open notional
$131.72
Total PnL
$-555.39
Realised
$60.83
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
703 shares @ 21.3¢·now 14.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$102.00
$-48.00
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
2781 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$23.64
$-73.30
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
270 shares @ 37.0¢·now 2.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$6.08
$-93.92
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get 52 million or more views on day 5?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 12, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will "Hoppers" score at least 99 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
3000 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026$0.00
$-35.00
- YES
Will the match end in a draw?
302 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
281 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Clavicular get frame mogged by Gorlock the Destroyer on stream during Mog World Order?
250 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- NO
Will Khamenei tweet again by March 10?
100 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-45.00
- NO
Will Khamenei tweet again by March 7?
100 shares @ 73.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-73.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?$100.68May 18, 14:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?$5.20May 18, 14:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Connecticut win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?$0.00Apr 8, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" score at least 45 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?$10.00Apr 2, 11:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Connecticut win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?$20.00Mar 28, 06:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Clavicular get frame mogged by Gorlock the Destroyer on stream during Mog World Order?$100.00Mar 18, 13:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Hoppers" score at least 98 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?$0.00Mar 18, 13:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$132.43Mar 15, 08:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Italy win?$0.43Mar 8, 00:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Italy win?$103.90Mar 7, 18:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Italy win?$39.85Mar 7, 17:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill England win?$38.46Mar 7, 17:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Italy win?$1.00Mar 7, 17:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the match end in a draw?$10.00Mar 7, 17:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win?$100.00Mar 7, 16:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Khamenei tweet again by March 10?$45.00Mar 6, 13:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Khamenei tweet again by March 7?$62.57Mar 6, 13:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Khamenei tweet again by March 7?$10.43Mar 6, 13:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Hoppers" score at least 99 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?$5.00Mar 6, 06:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Hoppers" score at least 99 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?$1.87Mar 6, 06:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $57.82
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 3, 14:25 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 14:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".