Weak-Associate
0xb163fa5edf7d17140fed311144572d1dbe20c08a
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$77.79
Total PnL
$-0.80
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
38 shares @ 99.4¢·now 99.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$38.20
$-0.02
- NO
Will there be 4 or more ChatGPT outages in May 2026?
9 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$9.41
$0.01
- NO
Will "Mortal Kombat II" be the May film with the highest domestic gross on June 30?
9 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$9.03
$-0.03
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C or higher on May 31?
9 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$8.56
$0.01
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 66°F or higher on May 31?
2 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.13
$0.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 64-65°F on May 31?
2 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.59
$0.01
- NO
Will "Obsession" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 16m and 17m?
2 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$1.50
$0.00
- NO
Will there be exactly 3 ChatGPT outages in May 2026?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.36
$0.00
- NO
Will Z.ai have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?
1 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.29
$0.00
- NO
Will Alibaba have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?
1 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.19
$-0.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 3, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 2, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 1, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 45 by May 31?$1.05May 31, 12:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 50 by May 31?$1.05May 31, 12:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 60 by May 31?$1.05May 31, 12:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Z.ai have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?$1.29May 31, 12:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alibaba have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?$1.19May 31, 12:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 3 ChatGPT outages in May 2026?$1.36May 31, 12:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be 4 or more ChatGPT outages in May 2026?$9.40May 31, 12:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 66°F or higher on May 31?$2.13May 31, 12:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 64-65°F on May 31?$1.58May 31, 12:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C or higher on May 31?$8.55May 31, 12:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Obsession" be the May film with the highest domestic gross on June 30?$1.16May 31, 12:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Mortal Kombat II" be the May film with the highest domestic gross on June 30?$9.06May 31, 12:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Obsession" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 16m and 17m?$1.50May 31, 12:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$38.23May 31, 12:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on January 15?$1.08May 31, 12:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,600 on January 15?$1.74May 31, 12:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$4.64Jan 21, 01:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $3.79
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 20, 09:33 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 3, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".