Ironclad-Permafrost
0xb16706975acd54d71e035552fd230ba92335bfe0
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$9.11
Total PnL
$-5.8K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the price of XRP be above $1.10 on March 13?
4 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$4.12
$0.00
- NO
Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?
4 shares @ 98.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$3.59
$0.06
- NO
Will the Reserve Bank of Australia decrease the target for the cash rate after the March Meeting?
1 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$1.40
$0.10
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - December 10, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET
2154 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.1K
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - December 20, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET
2154 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 20, 2025$0.00
$-1.1K
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - December 27, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET
2064 shares @ 49.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 27, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - December 13, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET
1766 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 13, 2025$0.00
$-883.00
- UP
Solana Up or Down - December 16, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET
1724 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 16, 2025$0.00
$-862.00
- UP
Solana Up or Down - December 21, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET
1710 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 21, 2025$0.00
$-855.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.10 on March 13?$4.12Mar 13, 06:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$1.12Mar 13, 06:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mary Patterson be the Democratic Nominee for NC-04?$3.00Dec 27, 07:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - December 27, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET$5.37Dec 27, 07:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - December 27, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET$1.0KDec 27, 06:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$1.11Dec 27, 06:28 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 26, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET$1.3KDec 26, 12:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 26, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET$632.00Dec 26, 11:38 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 25, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET$1.3KDec 26, 05:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Reserve Bank of Australia decrease the target for the cash rate after the March Meeting?$1.30Dec 25, 20:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 25, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET$25.00Dec 25, 20:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 25, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET$636.00Dec 25, 20:34 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 23, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET$7.78Dec 23, 12:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 23, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET$6.77Dec 23, 11:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 23, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET$2.50Dec 23, 11:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 23, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET$755.50Dec 23, 11:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mary Patterson be the Democratic Nominee for NC-04?$2.97Dec 22, 13:10 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - December 22, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET$2.0KDec 22, 13:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - December 22, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET$865.75Dec 22, 12:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - December 22, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET$111.97Dec 22, 12:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $240.63
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 30, 03:41 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 13, 06:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.