Unimportant-Aperitif
0xb16c38ede7e346629e4fc9489c8dbce54cfd391f
Wallet digest
Activity score
47/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.0K
Realised
$-1.58
Win rate
43%
23 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET
1605 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-18.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET
1111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET
1005 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $92,000 and $94,000 on January 23?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET
300 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-3.09
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET
207 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$0.00
$-4.17
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET
200 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 11, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET
198 shares @ 50.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 11, 2026$0.00
$-99.90
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET
156 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 7, 2026$0.00
$-64.13
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET$0.90Jul 11, 12:18 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET$0.28Jul 11, 12:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET$0.47Jul 11, 12:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET$0.03Jul 11, 12:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET$0.50Jul 11, 12:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET$1.01Jul 11, 12:09 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET$0.93Jul 11, 12:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET$1.03Jul 11, 12:09 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET$2.18Jul 11, 12:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET$1.00Jul 11, 12:09 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET$1.61Jul 11, 12:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET$2.10Jul 11, 12:08 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET$1.24Jul 11, 11:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET$1.03Jul 11, 11:39 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET$1.07Jul 11, 11:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET$1.01Jul 11, 11:09 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET$1.58Jul 11, 11:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET$1.03Jul 11, 11:08 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET$1.28Jul 11, 10:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET$1.04Jul 11, 10:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
49/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
43% win rate over 23 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 32/100.
23 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.94
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 11, 07:34 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 11, 12:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 23 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.