Fearful-Victory
0xb16d2961a1b35c0f7de63df647d0f5052b98bc62
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$15.85
Total PnL
$-1.12
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Samuel Doria Medina win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?
6 shares @ 54.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 19, 2025$6.04
$2.78
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?
5 shares @ 79.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$4.51
$0.95
- YES
Bitcoin above $105,000 on July 1?
3 shares @ 71.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2025$2.70
$0.78
- NO
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?
3 shares @ 80.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$2.60
$0.52
- NO
No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?
23 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2025$0.00
$-6.15
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYJerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?$2.08Jul 17, 02:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Samuel Doria Medina win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?$3.26Jul 10, 17:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin above $105,000 on July 1?$1.92Jun 27, 18:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $110K in June?$0.00Jun 13, 10:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals?$0.00Jun 13, 10:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?$10.53Jun 13, 10:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $90k in May?$34.73Jun 13, 10:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $110K in June?$1.58Jun 4, 09:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?$3.80May 31, 13:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $90k in May?$11.46May 6, 05:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?$6.15May 6, 02:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?$3.56May 3, 12:11 UTC
- REDEEMLiverpool wins the Premier League?$0.00Apr 30, 09:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Berachain launch a token in January?$5.16Feb 7, 12:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $120,000 by January 31, 2025?$24.17Feb 7, 12:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Berachain launch a token in January?$5.14Jan 30, 15:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $120,000 by January 31, 2025?$23.88Jan 30, 10:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kamala Harris be inaugurated?$6.06Jan 21, 14:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump be inaugurated?$7.69Jan 21, 14:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris be inaugurated?$6.05Jan 18, 14:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $3.79
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 12, 09:36 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 17, 02:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.