Watchful-Wildebeest
0xb16f9d5e20d75b74f6b7444b1ab830490d529bd7
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-5.1K
Realised
$-463.57
Win rate
0%
200 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET
539 shares @ 70.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$0.00
$-378.76
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET
514 shares @ 58.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.00
$-299.97
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET
383 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-12.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET
153 shares @ 65.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$0.00
$-99.99
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET
147 shares @ 71.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$0.00
$-104.94
- FUT ESPORTS
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3
122 shares @ 24.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET
98 shares @ 54.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-54.09
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET
96 shares @ 56.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.00
$-54.28
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET
93 shares @ 57.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$0.00
$-53.96
- UNDER
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5
78 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$0.00
$-36.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET$1.05Jul 15, 15:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET$1.06Jul 15, 14:59 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET$1.54Jul 15, 14:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET$1.02Jul 15, 14:53 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET$9.26Jul 15, 09:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET$5.16Jul 15, 09:23 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET$1.67Jul 15, 09:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET$1.03Jul 15, 09:01 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET$1.49Jul 15, 09:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET$1.02Jul 15, 08:56 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET$1.33Jul 15, 07:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET$1.02Jul 15, 07:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET$1.04Jul 15, 07:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Belgium: Team to Advance AND Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 3.5 AND Spain vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Score$19.78Jul 10, 18:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET$9.75Jul 10, 08:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5$36.97Jul 10, 08:04 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET$10.34Jul 10, 08:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET$9.27Jul 10, 07:59 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET$10.90Jul 9, 23:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET$9.77Jul 9, 23:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
59/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 200 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
33 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 28/100.
200 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $9.80
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 8, 17:26 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 15, 15:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 200 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.