Agreeable-Lobotomy-Bean
0xb175778e8cb3dab7b03267e0dcef1d74d86cfd32
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
111
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.8K
Realised
$-60.93
Win rate
0%
65 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 111- YES
Argentina vs. Egypt: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?
872 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-95.94
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET
672 shares @ 35.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-240.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET
651 shares @ 12.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-80.00
- COLOMBIA
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advance
600 shares @ 58.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-350.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET
558 shares @ 10.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-59.00
- NO
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?
368 shares @ 30.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-113.28
- OVER
Canada vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 0.5
356 shares @ 11.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.00
$-39.98
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET
308 shares @ 16.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-51.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET
247 shares @ 31.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-78.33
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET
195 shares @ 28.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$0.00
$-55.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET$0.00Jul 28, 17:22 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET$0.00Jul 28, 17:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET$94.43Jul 28, 17:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET$21.06Jul 28, 17:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET$15.83Jul 28, 17:10 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET$38.46Jul 28, 17:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET$20.70Jul 28, 17:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET$15.78Jul 28, 17:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET$20.67Jul 28, 17:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET$5.31Jul 28, 17:02 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET$68.90Jul 28, 08:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET$31.37Jul 28, 08:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET$35.83Jul 28, 08:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET$5.62Jul 28, 08:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET$21.06Jul 28, 08:28 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET$64.52Jul 28, 08:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET$20.97Jul 28, 08:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?$1.56Jul 27, 18:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $60,000 July 6-12?$6.13Jul 13, 04:13 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$10.00Jul 9, 21:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
59/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 65 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
41 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 34/100.
65 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $63.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 7, 14:45 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 17:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 65 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.