Likely-Difficulty
0xb177741fac655e66fcb0f352c7c2696c1464ac08
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
14
Open notional
$54.92
Total PnL
$-116.18
Realised
$203.18
Win rate
100%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
771 shares @ 1.1¢·now 3.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$28.14
$19.66
- YES
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
45 shares @ 16.3¢·now 59.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$26.77
$19.43
- DOWN
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 5?
5136 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 5, 2026$0.00
$-142.87
- DOWN
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 15?
2049 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 15, 2026$0.00
$-40.87
- YES
Will Google Gemini be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 16?
1787 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-9.77
- DOWN
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 21?
903 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-40.43
- DOWN
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 2?
658 shares @ 9.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 2, 2026$0.00
$-62.66
- UP
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 14?
290 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026$0.00
$-2.61
- YES
Will Threads be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 16?
290 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-7.38
- NO
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7000 (HIGH) in January?
191 shares @ 10.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-19.63
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$2.59May 28, 14:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$2.25May 28, 14:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$7.60May 22, 13:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$7.98May 22, 13:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$0.17May 21, 07:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$0.50May 21, 05:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$0.05May 21, 05:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$0.05May 21, 03:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$0.26May 21, 02:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$0.07May 20, 14:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$2.50May 20, 14:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$0.05May 19, 17:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$1.02May 19, 17:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$2.03May 19, 17:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$1.05May 19, 16:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$6.73May 19, 12:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$2.64May 19, 12:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$1.64May 19, 12:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$5.02May 19, 12:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$3.69May 18, 18:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $3.30
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 27, 11:47 UTC
- Last active
- May 28, 14:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".