Whole-Fir
0xb17816ae3653e73863bb8c132a22856d298b3f7e
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
27
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-529.54
Realised
$-67.77
Win rate
0%
27 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- YES
Exact Score: Iraq 3 - 0 Norway?
957 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Saudi Arabia?
702 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.00
$-49.17
- YES
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 2 Belgium?
539 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$0.00
$-32.35
- YES
Deniz Undav: 3+ goals
500 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Exact Score: Iraq 2 - 0 Norway?
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- OVER
England vs. Ghana: O/U 6.5
485 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$-23.23
- YES
Exact Score: Norway 1 - 3 England?
429 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Spain?
377 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$0.00
$-41.52
- YES
Czechia vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score in First Half
333 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Exact Score: France 3 - 0 Senegal?
313 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYExact Score: France 2 - 1 Spain?$43.37Jul 14, 14:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYAdrien Rabiot: 1+ goals AND Lamine Yamal: 1+ goals$10.99Jul 14, 14:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYJude Bellingham: 1+ goals AND Harry Kane: 1+ goals AND Alexander Sørloth: 1+ goals AND Erling Haaland: 1+ goals$3.60Jul 11, 18:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Norway 1 - 3 England?$31.39Jul 11, 18:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYJude Bellingham: 1+ goals AND Harry Kane: 1+ goals AND Alexander Sørloth: 1+ goals AND Erling Haaland: 1+ goals$4.99Jul 11, 18:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYErling Haaland: 2+ goals AND Exact Score: Norway 2 - 3 England?$15.00Jul 11, 18:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Spain 2 - 2 Belgium?$33.87Jul 10, 19:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYKylian Mbappé: 3+ goals AND Michael Olise: 2+ assists$20.00Jul 4, 12:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYOusmane Dembélé: 1+ goals AND Ousmane Dembélé: 2+ assists AND Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals AND Michael Olise: 1+ assists$36.76Jun 30, 20:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYOusmane Dembélé: 2+ assists$10.28Jun 30, 20:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYKylian Mbappé: 3+ goals AND Exact Score: France 3 - 1 Sweden?$3.00Jun 30, 20:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYKylian Mbappé: 3+ goals$10.28Jun 30, 20:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYEngland vs. Ghana: O/U 6.5$23.89Jun 23, 17:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Saudi Arabia?$50.54Jun 21, 11:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYDeniz Undav: 3+ goals$15.44Jun 20, 19:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Germany 3 - 1 Côte d'Ivoire?$10.28Jun 20, 19:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Germany 3 - 0 Côte d'Ivoire?$10.27Jun 20, 19:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYCzechia vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score in First Half$10.28Jun 18, 16:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYCzechia vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score in First Half$30.74Jun 18, 12:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Czechia 0 - 0 South Africa?$5.14Jun 18, 12:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
50/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 27 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 30/100.
27 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $18.89
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 21, 20:55 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 14, 14:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 27 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.