Glaring-Admission
0xb17dbf582866b3874cd5acbe754f5e306a3f350b
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
29
Open notional
$804.71
Total PnL
$-1.4K
Realised
$-0.99
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- NO
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 1 - 7?
588 shares @ 99.4¢·now 99.1¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$582.23
$-1.77
- NO
Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 1 - 7?
223 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$222.48
$-0.05
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET
1065 shares @ 38.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-408.09
- UP
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 29?
631 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2026$0.00
$-328.28
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - April 14, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET
269 shares @ 30.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-82.46
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET
229 shares @ 6.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2026$0.00
$-13.99
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET
208 shares @ 96.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-199.93
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET
188 shares @ 37.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$0.00
$-70.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET
138 shares @ 21.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 20, 2026$0.00
$-30.17
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET
100 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 1 - 7?$165.58Jun 4, 09:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 1 - 7?$56.96Jun 4, 09:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 1 - 7?$584.18Jun 4, 09:07 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - June 4, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET$122.21Jun 4, 09:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 4, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET$101.94Jun 4, 09:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 4, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET$20.92Jun 4, 08:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 4, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET$52.15Jun 4, 08:45 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - June 3, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET$5.58Jun 3, 11:37 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - June 3, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET$6.79Jun 3, 11:36 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - June 3, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET$23.28Jun 3, 11:36 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - June 3, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET$23.28Jun 3, 11:36 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - June 3, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET$29.10Jun 3, 11:36 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - June 3, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET$25.22Jun 3, 11:36 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - June 3, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET$19.40Jun 3, 11:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 3, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET$101.88Jun 3, 11:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 25 - 31?$100.00Jun 3, 11:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 25 - 31?$252.00Jun 3, 11:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 25 - 31?$527.00Jun 3, 11:24 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - May 28, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET$17.34May 28, 09:50 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - May 28, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET$18.42May 28, 09:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $37.46
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 27, 01:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 09:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".