Decent-Hydrocarb
0xb18cd41b71beae75153c23f7b6c9708a9179b307
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
14
Open notional
$284.29
Total PnL
$-188.85
Realised
$-10.03
Win rate
20%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
Will Kevin Roy win the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open?
280 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$280.38
$0.66
- NO
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
4 shares @ 98.4¢·now 97.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$3.91
$-0.03
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $118,000 on November 6?
650 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 6, 2025$0.00
$-1.30
- YES
Will "The Smashing Machine" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 18m?
624 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 6, 2025$0.00
$-4.10
- YES
Will the US officially declare war on Iran before August?
480 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.40
- YES
Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli win the 2025 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?
451 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 3, 2025$0.00
$-3.60
- YES
Will Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
451 shares @ 34.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-157.05
- YES
Will Nick Taylor win the 2025 BMW Championship?
314 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 18, 2025$0.00
$-2.70
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $126,000 and $128,000 on October 15?
313 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 15, 2025$0.00
$-1.55
- YES
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $270 end of November?
190 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 28, 2025$0.00
$-1.26
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?$157.05Mar 30, 19:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$379.24Mar 30, 19:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$379.62Mar 30, 19:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kevin Roy win the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open?$279.72Mar 25, 11:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?$1.19Mar 24, 19:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?$8.12Mar 23, 19:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $82,000 on December 19?$0.17Mar 19, 14:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump deport 2,000,000 or more people?$174.00Mar 19, 14:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on December 20?$2.90Dec 19, 15:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on December 20?$5.85Dec 19, 15:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill XRP reach $2.40 December 15-21?$2.04Dec 19, 15:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP reach $2.40 December 15-21?$5.10Dec 19, 15:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $82,000 on December 19?$308.76Dec 19, 15:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $92,000 and $94,000 on December 19?$0.51Dec 19, 15:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $82,000 on December 19?$309.38Dec 19, 15:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $92,000 and $94,000 on December 19?$1.70Dec 19, 15:05 UTC
- TRADESELLMaduro out by November 30, 2025?$10.00Nov 25, 12:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYMaduro out by November 30, 2025?$11.50Nov 25, 12:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Amazon (AMZN) close above $270 end of November?$1.06Nov 25, 12:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon (AMZN) close above $270 end of November?$3.70Nov 25, 12:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $127.70
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 16, 07:05 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 30, 19:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".