Any-Soundness
0xb196dcd25660a38edbc840e1e0c7db11ca5ca472
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$20.18
Total PnL
$-10.82
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
21 shares @ 96.0¢·now 96.9¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$20.18
$0.18
- YES
Will Cary Katz win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?
8000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-8.00
- YES
Will BLɅϽKPIИK release an album before 2026?
2 shares @ 96.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Russia capture Yunakivka before July?
1 shares @ 80.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?$20.00May 21, 08:17 UTC
- REDEEMRFK Jr. Out by December 31?$1.05May 21, 08:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jensen Huang be richest person on October 31?$3.76May 21, 08:16 UTC
- REDEEMFact check: Was Tyler Robinson a lone actor?$10.22May 21, 08:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jensen Huang be richest person on October 31?$558.88Oct 23, 06:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jensen Huang be richest person on October 31?$563.20Oct 22, 10:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYFact check: Was Tyler Robinson a lone actor?$10.00Oct 22, 10:27 UTC
- TRADESELLPam Bondi out as Attorney General by December 31?$1.02Oct 22, 10:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Xi visit the US by December 31?$0.96Oct 22, 10:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cary Katz win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?$4.00Oct 22, 10:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cary Katz win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?$4.00Oct 22, 10:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYRFK Jr. Out by December 31?$1.00Oct 1, 13:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Xi visit the US by December 31?$1.00Oct 1, 13:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYPam Bondi out as Attorney General by December 31?$1.00Oct 1, 13:49 UTC
- TRADESELLMusk out as Tesla CEO in 2025?$2.14Oct 1, 13:48 UTC
- REDEEMNorth Korea missile test by June 15?$1.18Oct 1, 13:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Chet Holmgren record the most total rebounds in the NBA Finals?$1.52Oct 1, 13:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Yunakivka before July?$1.00Jun 7, 03:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYNorth Korea missile test by June 15?$1.00Jun 7, 03:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill BLɅϽKPIИK release an album before 2026?$2.00Jun 7, 03:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $35.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 4, 04:58 UTC
- Last active
- May 21, 08:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".