Poor-Footage
0xb1a2757fd88d6f66255f53565ada24d875b257fe
Wallet digest
Activity score
95/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$2.4K
Total PnL
$-16.1K
Realised
$139.52
Win rate
100%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in July?
750 shares @ 67.0¢·now 97.8¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$733.48
$230.99
- NO
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?
428 shares @ 79.5¢·now 94.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$403.99
$64.01
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July?
350 shares @ 47.1¢·now 96.7¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$338.27
$173.27
- NO
Will Tom Aspinall be the UFC Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
665 shares @ 47.4¢·now 43.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$286.06
$-29.48
- NO
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
480 shares @ 55.0¢·now 54.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$261.59
$-2.40
- NO
Will Carlos Ulberg be the UFC Light Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
1261 shares @ 22.9¢·now 17.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$220.72
$-68.74
- NO
Will Joshua Van be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
150 shares @ 60.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$75.75
$-14.25
- YES
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?
330 shares @ 31.0¢·now 14.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$46.20
$-56.10
- YES
Will Ilia Topuria be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
492 shares @ 65.0¢·now 4.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$20.92
$-299.10
- YES
Will there be at least 10000 cyclosporiasis cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?
190 shares @ 8.6¢·now 5.3¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$10.07
$-6.27
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 115m?$200.00Jul 20, 21:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tom Aspinall be the UFC Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?$5.65Jul 20, 04:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tom Aspinall be the UFC Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?$75.60Jul 20, 04:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$139.01Jul 19, 01:04 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$5.18Jul 18, 00:45 UTC
- REWARD$8.62Jul 18, 00:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "World Cup" during Speech to the Nation?$89.99Jul 17, 03:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Fake News" during Speech to the Nation?$301.43Jul 17, 03:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Fraud" or "Fraudulent" during Speech to the Nation?$200.00Jul 17, 03:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Russia" during Speech to the Nation?$969.99Jul 17, 03:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "China" during Speech to the Nation?$350.00Jul 17, 03:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Communist" during Speech to the Nation?$679.26Jul 17, 01:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Fake News" during Speech to the Nation?$0.43Jul 17, 01:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Hottest" during Speech to the Nation?$94.29Jul 17, 00:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Make America Great Again" during Speech to the Nation?$4.60Jul 17, 00:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Make America Great Again" during Speech to the Nation?$1.15Jul 17, 00:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Make America Great Again" during Speech to the Nation?$2.30Jul 17, 00:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Make America Great Again" during Speech to the Nation?$4.60Jul 17, 00:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Make America Great Again" during Speech to the Nation?$9.20Jul 17, 00:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Make America Great Again" during Speech to the Nation?$19.55Jul 17, 00:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
25/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
40 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 61/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $49.86
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 16, 22:44 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 20, 21:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.