Bowed-Shelter
0xb1aabcc8db8c778a12180d16312def87d3e5982c
Wallet digest
Activity score
29/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
18
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-71.16
Realised
$-1.58
Win rate
0%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 13, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET
19 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 13, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET
16 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 13, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET
12 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.00
$-0.48
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET
12 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 8, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET
10 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 13, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET
8 shares @ 65.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 8, 2026$0.00
$-4.93
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET
8 shares @ 66.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 8, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET
6 shares @ 78.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 8, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET
6 shares @ 80.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 8, 2026$0.00
$-4.88
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET$0.00Aug 13, 18:41 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET$0.00Aug 13, 18:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET$5.14Aug 13, 18:37 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET$7.94Aug 13, 18:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET$5.13Aug 13, 18:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET$5.17Aug 13, 18:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET$5.26Aug 13, 18:17 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET$0.00Aug 13, 18:06 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET$17.24Aug 13, 18:06 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET$8.47Aug 13, 18:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET$5.25Aug 13, 18:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET$5.14Aug 13, 17:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET$5.24Aug 13, 17:48 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET$0.00Aug 13, 17:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET$5.30Aug 13, 17:38 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET$0.00Aug 13, 17:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET$5.21Aug 13, 17:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET$5.35Aug 13, 16:56 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET$0.00Jul 16, 05:33 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET$10.42Jul 16, 05:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
38/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 12 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
26 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 36/100.
12 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $4.06
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 8, 16:06 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 13, 18:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 12 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.