Deadly-Measles
0xb1b877039149a16f70ecf1e3540c7be2e9b1465a
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$814.08
Total PnL
$-4.5K
Realised
$9.09
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
1579 shares @ 19.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$276.32
$-23.68
- YES
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
1390 shares @ 36.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$187.67
$-312.33
- NO
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
159 shares @ 63.0¢·now 75.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$119.84
$19.84
- YES
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
4495 shares @ 22.2¢·now 2.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$114.18
$-885.82
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
1842 shares @ 38.0¢·now 4.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$82.89
$-617.10
- YES
James Comey charges dropped by May 31?
2552 shares @ 3.9¢·now 1.3¢·exp May 31, 2026$33.18
$-66.82
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
10298 shares @ 12.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.3K
- YES
Will the US next strike Iran on February 13, 2026 (ET)?
3336 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-160.00
- YES
Will the US conduct a cyberattack on Iran by March 31?
1942 shares @ 10.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?
1250 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$300.00May 11, 02:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYJames Comey charges dropped by May 31?$100.00May 2, 18:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?$101.48May 2, 18:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?$100.00Mar 10, 03:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?$100.00Mar 5, 01:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$700.00Mar 5, 01:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$500.00Mar 5, 01:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?$500.00Mar 4, 17:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?$1000.00Mar 4, 17:45 UTC
- REDEEMKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$0.00Mar 4, 03:56 UTC
- REDEEMKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$0.00Mar 4, 03:56 UTC
- REDEEMKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$4.4KMar 4, 03:25 UTC
- REDEEMKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$6.2KMar 4, 03:25 UTC
- REDEEMIran Strike on Israel by February 28?$0.00Mar 1, 04:04 UTC
- REDEEMIran Strike on Israel by February 28?$0.00Mar 1, 04:02 UTC
- REDEEMIran Strike on Israel by February 28?$305.90Mar 1, 03:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?$1.9KFeb 28, 21:37 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$2.1KFeb 28, 21:37 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$3.2KFeb 28, 21:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 14, 2026?$40.00Feb 11, 22:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $265.83
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 28, 18:34 UTC
- Last active
- May 11, 02:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".