Happy-Battalion
0xb1b93f2917a8c5a57edd74d27b6a7bd18822fe85
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
21
Open notional
$24.29
Total PnL
$-32.71
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
7 shares @ 67.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$7.46
$2.46
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $95,000 in November?
6 shares @ 50.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$6.00
$3.00
- YES
Maduro out by December 31, 2026?
4 shares @ 57.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.51
$1.51
- NO
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?
3 shares @ 96.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$3.12
$0.12
- YES
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
2 shares @ 84.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$2.38
$0.38
- YES
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
5 shares @ 55.0¢·now 33.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.81
$-1.19
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
188 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
38 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?
32 shares @ 15.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Trump pardon Roger Ver in 2025?
31 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Gold close between $4500 and $4600 at the end of 2025?$1.00Dec 29, 02:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump talk to Elon Musk in December?$1.00Dec 29, 02:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?$2.00Dec 29, 02:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYLighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?$2.00Dec 21, 02:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? $3.00Dec 21, 01:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYMaduro out by December 31, 2026?$2.00Dec 19, 03:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?$2.00Dec 19, 03:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$3.00Dec 19, 02:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? $2.00Nov 5, 08:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?$3.00Nov 5, 08:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?$1.00Nov 5, 08:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $95,000 in November?$3.00Nov 5, 08:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Arsenal FC win on 2025-11-04?$1.27Nov 5, 07:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2025-11-04?$1.27Nov 5, 07:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Liverpool FC win on 2025-11-04?$2.44Nov 5, 07:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?$4.18Nov 5, 07:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill SSC Napoli vs. Eintracht Frankfurt end in a draw?$4.35Nov 5, 07:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2025-11-04?$1.00Nov 4, 11:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-11-04?$1.00Nov 4, 11:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Liverpool FC win on 2025-11-04?$1.00Nov 4, 11:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $3.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 26, 03:06 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 29, 02:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.