Fruitful-Rabbit
0xb1becf4bfc79d7dc6ce572779818e746df67fe4e
Wallet digest
Activity score
91/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$28.57
Total PnL
$5.57
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
14 shares @ 63.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$14.29
$5.29
- NO
Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open?
9 shares @ 97.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$9.21
$0.21
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
5 shares @ 98.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$5.08
$0.08
Recent activity
- TRADESELLCruzeiro EC vs. Fluminense FC: O/U 5.5$2.24May 31, 23:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYCruzeiro EC vs. Fluminense FC: O/U 5.5$5.01May 31, 21:26 UTC
- TRADESELLKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$4.97May 31, 09:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$5.00May 31, 09:14 UTC
- TRADESELLExact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 2 - 3 Arsenal FC?$0.36May 30, 16:07 UTC
- TRADESELLExact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 0 - 2 Arsenal FC?$3.18May 30, 16:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 0 - 2 Arsenal FC?$7.01May 30, 12:22 UTC
- REDEEMCaracas FC vs. Botafogo FR: O/U 5.5$0.00May 30, 11:39 UTC
- REDEEMCaracas FC vs. Botafogo FR: O/U 5.5$0.00May 30, 11:39 UTC
- REDEEMCaracas FC vs. Botafogo FR: O/U 5.5$7.16May 30, 11:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 2 - 3 Arsenal FC?$9.00May 30, 10:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$7.99May 30, 04:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$8.01May 30, 04:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$6.92May 30, 02:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$7.07May 30, 01:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$8.98May 30, 00:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$9.01May 29, 23:58 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$8.25May 29, 18:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$9.12May 29, 18:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$7.98May 29, 08:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 60/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $7.22
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 25, 09:00 UTC
- Last active
- May 31, 23:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.