Raw-Fool
0xb1d1fc4a5dacc36e102e936e15303a6ee1791e37
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
26
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-30.2K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- NO
Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?
17851 shares @ 44.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-8.0K
- YES
Will Abigail Spanberger win by 12-15%?
17850 shares @ 31.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-5.6K
- YES
Will Mikie Sherrill win by 9-12%?
12797 shares @ 24.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-3.1K
- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani get between 55% and 60% of the vote in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
9827 shares @ 19.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.9K
- YES
Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2025?
9299 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-649.99
- YES
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?
7900 shares @ 12.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-1000.00
- NO
TikTok sale announced in 2025?
7246 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.4K
- NO
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 6?
4721 shares @ 21.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2025$0.00
$-1000.00
- NO
US military action against Iran before July?
3682 shares @ 51.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.9K
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?
3009 shares @ 41.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.3K
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 5, 2026?$107.00Feb 3, 18:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?$260.00Jan 14, 22:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?$1000.00Jan 14, 16:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump say "dictator" at least three times during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?$581.58Jan 5, 17:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump say "dictator" at least three times during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?$221.00Jan 3, 15:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump say "cocaine" at least five times during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?$200.00Jan 3, 15:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump say "Minnesota" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?$150.00Jan 3, 15:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYTikTok sale announced in 2025?$1.4KDec 20, 19:02 UTC
- TRADESELLBrown University shooter arrested by December 31?$459.11Dec 20, 19:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?$1000.00Dec 18, 06:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2025?$650.00Dec 18, 06:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBrown University shooter arrested by December 31?$340.00Dec 18, 06:45 UTC
- TRADESELLSupreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?$2.9KDec 2, 17:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Andrew Cuomo win Staten Island?$1.9KNov 7, 16:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mikie Sherrill win by 12-15%?$6.0KNov 7, 16:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?$7.5KNov 7, 16:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Abigail Spanberger win by 12-15%?$3.5KNov 6, 04:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Lebanon on November 6?$1000.00Nov 6, 00:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYSupreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?$3.0KNov 5, 23:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DoorDash (DASH) beat quarterly earnings?$1000.00Nov 5, 19:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $1.4K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 4, 15:23 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 3, 18:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".